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美评级调降影响减弱本周聚焦欧洲与经济形势 _ 外汇频道 _ 东方财富

Identification of errors in software requirements through use of automated requirements tools Original Research Article

Information and Software Technology, Volume 31, Issue 9, November 1989, Pages 472-476

JS Davis

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Errors in software requirements tend to be more costly to correct the later they are detected. Use of automated requirements tools can help detect errors early in the software life-cycle. The paper describes a case study that demonstrated the capabilities of automated requirements tools in detecting errors in the requirements

for a large management information system. Three different tools were applied to the same requirements document: Problem Statement Language/Problem Statement Analyzer (PSL/PSA), Input/Output Requirements Language (IORL), and Software Requirements Engineering Methodology (SREM). Each tool helped identify several hundred errors, many of which were associated with failures that occurred after system delivery. Article Outline

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602

Evaluation of software sensors for on-line estimation of culture conditions in an Escherichia coli cultivation expressing a recombinant protein Original Research Article

Journal of Biotechnology, Volume 147, Issue 1, 3 May 2010, Pages 37-45

Benedikt Warth, Gy?rgy Rajkai, Carl-Fredrik Mandenius

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603

Requirements engineering: making the connection between the software developer and customer Original Research Article

Information and Software Technology, Volume 42, Issue 6, 15 April 2000, Pages 419-428

H. Saiedian, R. Dale

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604

Reusable software requirements and architectures for families of systems Original Research Article

Journal of Systems and Software, Volume 28, Issue 3, March 1995, Pages 189-202 Hassan Gomaa

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In this article, an application domain perspective is applied to software reuse. An application domain is represented by a family of systems that have some features in common and others that differentiate them. A domain model is a problem-oriented architecture that captures the similarities and variations of the family of systems that compose the application domain. Because the application domain requirements capture the composite features of the members of the family, they are categorized

as kernel (required by all family members) or optional (required by some family members). It is the optional features that determine the characteristics of a given target system. The relationship between the domain requirements and the object types

in the domain model are captured by means of feature/object dependencies, which define the object types and prerequisite features needed to support a given feature. Software architectures are reused by selecting those features required in a target system and then tailoring the domain model, subject to the appropriate feature/object dependency constraints, to generate the target system specification.

Article Outline

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605

Using DSS methods in selecting operations management software Original Research Article

Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems, Volume 1, Issue 4, November 1988, Pages 211-220

Avraham Shtub, Israel Spiegler, Adi Kapeliuk

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The multitude of software packages available today for production and operations management creates a selection problem. This paper proposes a methodology and a tool

to aid decision makers in evaluating and selecting the most appropriate package for their firm. The methodology deals with manufacturing resource planning (MRP) software and outlines two phases: the enumeration of an extensive list of criteria for MRP and the identification of a decision-making method to be used on the basis of these criteria. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP), also selected by the methodology,

is applied to an actual case where a software package is selected for an industrial enterprise. Organizational and human implications resulting from the introduction

of an MRP package are discussed. Purchase

606

Software architecture for farm management information systems in precision agriculture Original Research Article

Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, Volume 70, Issue 2, March 2010, Pages

328-336

Raimo Nikkil?, Ilkka Seilonen, Kari Koskinen

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607

Information systems for multinational enterprises—some factors at work in their design and implementation Original Research Article

Journal of International Management, Volume 11, Issue 2, June 2005, Pages 163-186 Hans Lehmann, Brent Gallupe

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608

An online interactive simulation system for medical imaging education Original Research Article

Computerized Medical Imaging and Graphics, Volume 29, Issue 6, September 2005, Pages

395-404

Aditya Dikshit, Dawei Wu, Chunyan Wu, Weizhao Zhao

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609

AI approaches to production management Original Research Article

Expert Systems with Applications, Volume 3, Issue 2, 1991, Pages 229-239

Stig Arff, Geir Hasle, Gisle Stokke, Jan C. Gjerl?w

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This paper discusses the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques for solving production management problems. Over the past years companies have been forced to alter their overall management strategies radically. Now, speed, flexibility, responsiveness, adaptiveness, and quality have become increasingly important. Companies must have the ability to respond to sudden market changes; and

in order to meet these new requirements, the company has to master new technologies

and new organizational forms. At all levels, organizations have to deal with quick

and high quality decisions, and this creates the need for not only conventional support systems, but also systems that are able to advise the decision makers in performing complex and knowledge-intensive tasks.

In particular, industrial scheduling within the production management (PM) domain

is addressed. In general, industrial scheduling using analytical techniques is an

NP-complete problem. Scheduling problems have been the target of a substantial amount

of research within the operations research (OR) community, yet conventional OR techniques applied to scheduling have had little impact in industry. Analytical results have been achieved only for problems of moderate complexity.

Using AI techniques the inherent complexity of the scheduling problem can be reduced

to a tractable size. We present a methodology for synthesizing detailed production schedules, based on the state-space search paradigm within AI. The paradigm is extended to include heuristic pruning, giving the ability to utilize the company-specific production strategies and knowledge employed in manual planning. Finally, we present a generic, industrial scheduling system, PLATO-PS, using these techniques.

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610

Modelling co-operative knowledge systems in design Original Research Article Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Volume 4, Issue 2, 1991, Pages

109-119

R. Sadananda, N. Mani

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Understanding co-operative knowledge systems is becoming a central issue in AI research. The questions centre around the complexity of managing separate knowledge sources in terms of heterarchical and hierarchical organisation structures, and convergence of the planning and design cycles. Engineering design is characterised

by no predetermined solution path and by the integration of multiple domains of knowledge at various levels of abstraction. A conceptual blackboard architecture is introduced to model co-operation among disparate knowledge sources associated with engineering design on a software framework. A trade-off approach brings in

co-operation among the disparate knowledge sources. For pedagogical purposes, the floorplanning of VLSI circuit design is simulated using the framework.

Article Outline

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611

Repository support for multi-perspective requirements engineering Original Research Article

Information Systems, Volume 24, Issue 2, April 1999, Pages 131-158

Hans W. Nissen, Matthias Jarke

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612

Fuzzy AHP-based decision support system for selecting ERP systems in textile industry by using balanced scorecard Original Research Article

Expert Systems with Applications, Volume 36, Issue 5, July 2009, Pages 8900-8909 Ufuk Cebeci

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613

Computer system validation: An overview of official requirements and standards Original Research Article

Pharmaceutica Acta Helvetiae, Volume 72, Issue 6, February 1998, Pages 317-325 Andreas Hoffmann, Jacqueline K?hny-Simonius, Marcel Plattner, Vanja Schmidli-Vckovski, Christian Kronseder

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614

Nurses’information retrieval skills in psychiatric hospitals –Are the requirements for evidence-based practice fulfilled? Original Research Article Nurse Education in Practice, Volume 10, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 27-31

Marita Koivunen, Maritta V?lim?ki, Heli H?t?nen

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615

Design of a large distributed information system Original Research Article Computer Networks and ISDN Systems, Volume 14, Issues 2-5, 1987, Pages 123-135

R.J Stevens, R.T Greenwood, G Alvisi, M Deschamps

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The design phases for a large, distributed information system for aerospace projects

are described. Careful attention to the real objectives, user requirements, and constraints upon implementation are paramount at this stage. A structured set of functional requirements allows the scope of the information system to be defined and useful feedback obtained from users, before large implementation commitments are made. The information system must be flexible and able to cope with technology changes and international standards as they mature. An interfacing approach based on international standards is described. The sheer size of the systems means that a structured approach based on functional requirements is essential. The functional

requirements must describe the flow of information as well as the support activities needed for the information system. Existing hardware, software and skills must be used, and a policy adopted for maximum use of commercial software solutions. Some software tools may need to be defined as project standards. Purchase

616

HelpMate?: A robotic materials transport system Original Research Article

Robotics and Autonomous Systems, Volume 5, Issue 3, November 1989, Pages 251-256 John Evans, Bala Krishnamurthy, Will Pong, Robert Croston, Carl Weiman, Gay Engelberger

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617

System on chip design service e-business value maximization through a novel MCDM framework Original Research Article

Expert Systems with Applications, Volume 38, Issue 7, July 2011, Pages 7947-7962

Chi-Yo Huang, Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng, Wen-Rong Jerry Ho

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Research highlights

? The System-on-Chip (SOC) design service industry is emerging at the moment when

E-commerce has already become one of the most efficient marketing channels. Albeit

the SOC design service firms intended to provide services over the internet, the

e-business model definitions for silicon intellectual property (SIP) commercialization or SOC design services are not easy for both aspects of technology

as well as business development. The authors proposed and verified a novel multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) based e-business model definition framework for maximizing the value-added of online SOC design services.

618

The Virtual Maintenance System: A Computer-Based Support Tool for Robust Design, Product Monitoring, Fault Diagnosis and Maintenance Planning Original Research Article

CIRP Annals - Manufacturing Technology, Volume 49, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 91-94

F.J.A.M. van Houten, F. Kimura

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Digital (geometric) product models can be used for maintainability analysis and maintenance planning. It is not feasible to build digital product models for maintenance purposes only, but if a digital product model is available, it may be

used to support many maintenance-related engineering tasks. Examples are: Product life cycle simulation (the influence of product use on product performance), deterioration analysis (the influence of wear on product function), Failure Mode Effect Analysis (FMEA), product model-based monitoring (to relate sensor signals to failure modes), failure diagnosis, disassemblability analysis (for repair and replacement), maintenance ergonomic analysis (to ease the work of maintenance personnel), etc.

At the University of Tokyo, a Virtual Maintenance System has been developed to support the activities mentioned above. The system makes it possible to relate predicted product behaviour and specific signals, which can be detected by sensors and can be used to avoid catastrophic failure. This creates better possibilities for condition-based maintenance and Design for Maintainability. Future CAD systems should support product life cycle issues right from the start of the design process.

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619

Factors influencing health information technology adoption in Thailand's community health centers: Applying the UTAUT model Original Research Article

International Journal of Medical Informatics, Volume 78, Issue 6, June 2009, Pages 404-416

Boonchai Kijsanayotin, Supasit Pannarunothai, Stuart M. Speedie

Close preview | Related articles | Related reference work articles AbstractAbstract | Figures/TablesFigures/Tables | ReferencesReferencesAbstract Background

One of the most important factors for the success of health information technology (IT) implementation is users’ acceptance and use of that technology. Thailand has implemented the national universal healthcare program and has been restructuring the country's health IT system to support it. However, there is no national data available regarding the acceptance and use of health IT in many healthcare facilities, including community health centers (CHCs). This study employed a modified Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) structural model, to understand factors that influence health IT adoption in community health centers in Thailand and to validate this extant IT adoption model in a developing country health care context.

Methods

An observational research design was employed to study CHCs’ IT adoption and use.

A random sample of 1607 regionally stratified CHC's from a total of 9806 CHCs was selected. Data collection was conducted using a cross-sectional survey by means of self-administered questionnaire with an 82% response rate. The research model was applied using the partial least squares (PLS) path modeling.

Results

The data showed that people who worked in CHCs exhibited a high degree of IT acceptance and use. The research model analyses suggest that IT acceptance is influenced by

performance expectancy, effort expectancy, social influence and voluntariness. Health IT use is predicted by previous IT experiences, intention to use the system, and facilitating conditions.

Conclusions

Health IT is pervasive and well adopted by CHCs in Thailand. The study results have implications for both health IT developmental efforts in Thailand and health informatics research. This study validated the UTAUT model in the field context of

a developing country's healthcare system and demonstrated that the PLS path modeling works well in a field study and in exploratory research with a complex model.

Article Outline

1. Background

2. IT acceptance and use models

3. Methods

4. Results

4.1. Respondent characteristics

4.2. Measurement model evaluation

4.3. Structural model evaluation

5. Discussion

6. Conclusions

Acknowledgements

References Purchase

620

Hardware/software co-design of a real-time kernel based tracking system Original Research Article

Journal of Systems Architecture, Volume 56, Issue 8, August 2010, Pages 317-326 Usman Ali, Mohammad Bilal Malik

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The probabilistic visual tracking methods using color histograms have been proven

to be robust to target model variations and background illumination changes as shown

by the recent research. However, the required computational cost is high due to intensive image data processing. The embedded solution of such algorithms become challenging due to high computational power demand and algorithm complexity. This paper presents a hardware/software co-design architecture for implementation of the well-known kernel based mean shift tracking algorithm. The design uses color histogram of the target as tracking feature. The target is searched in the consecutive images by maximizing the statistical match of the color distributions. The target localization is based on gradient based iterative search instead of exhaustive search which makes the system capable of achieving frame rate up to hundreds of frames per second while tracking multiple targets. The design, which is fully standalone, is

implemented on a low-cost medium-size field programmable gate array (FPGA) device. The hardware cost of the design is compared with some other tracking systems. The performance of the system in terms of speed is evaluated and compared with the software based implementation. It is expected that the proposed solution will find its utility

in applications like embedded automatic video surveillance systems.

Article Outline

1. Introduction

2. Design approach

3. Coprocessor architecture

3.1. Image decimation and cropping

3.2. Epanechnikov kernel calculation

3.3. Histogram calculation

3.4. Mean shift vector calculation

3.5. Bhattacharyya coefficient calculation

4. Hardware implementation

5. Performance evaluation

5.1. Comparison with other systems

5.2. System performance

6. Experimental results

7. Conclusion

Acknowledgements

References

Vitae Purchase

621

Use of digital simulation in reliability analysis for the design of industrial process control systems Original Research Article

Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Volume 31, Issue 3, 1991, Pages 281-295 M. Sikorski

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Problems of reliability evaluation in man-machine systems in industrial process control are discussed. Opportunities for wider use of digital simulation for reliability prediction of man-machine systems in the design phase are analysed. A particular cognitive model is discussed for its imminent use in reliability studies

of control room operations. Expected trends in the use of existing human reliability data bases are reviewed. Unification of control room patterns and procedures in various fields of modern industry is recognized as the main factor permitting the use of human error data stores from the nuclear industry and also for other applications. Relevant restricting conditions are next specified. Finally, the main requirements for a proposed reliability predictive, simulation-based software package for system designers are specified.

Article Outline

? References Purchase

622

Impact of a patient-centered, computer-based health information/support system Original Research Article

American Journal of Preventive Medicine, Volume 16, Issue 1, January 1999, Pages 1-9 David H. Gustafson, Robert Hawkins, Eric Boberg, Susanne Pingree, Ronald E. Serlin, Frank Graziano, Chein Lung Chan

Close preview | Related articles | Related reference work articles AbstractAbstract | Figures/TablesFigures/Tables | ReferencesReferencesAbstract Background: Consumer health information systems potentially improve a patient’s quality of life and activate patient self-care.

Objectives: Test a computerized system (CHESS: Comprehensive Health Enhancement Support System), which, in this application, provided HIV-positive patients with information, decision support, and connections to experts and other patients. Would patients given in-home access to computers use the system, improve their quality of life, reduce health-risk behaviors, and use medical services more efficiently?

Research Design: Randomized controlled trial: CHESS computers in experimental subjects’ homes in Madison or Milwaukee, Wisconsin, for 3 or 6 months; controls received no intervention. Subjects were compensated for self-report surveys completed before, during, and after CHESS installation.

Subjects: Of 204 HIV-positive patients recruited (90% male, 84% white, average education some college, and 65% experiencing HIV-related symptoms), 90% completed the study.

Measures: Self-reports of quality of life and frequency and duration of use of medical services.

Results: CHESS was used daily with little difference between demographic subgroups. While CHESS was in the home, its users reported quality-of-life improvements: active life, negative emotions, cognitive function, social support, and participation in health care. They also reported spending less time during ambulatory care visits, making more phone calls to providers, and experiencing fewer and shorter hospitalizations.

Conclusions: A computer-based personal health support system can improve a patient’

s quality of life and promote more efficient use of health care.

Article Outline

? Introduction

? Methods

? Results

? Effects on quality-of-life

? Health services utilization

? Ambulatory care

? Hospitalizations

? Conclusion

? Acknowledgements

? Appendix

? Survey measures

? References Purchase

623

System dynamics modelling and simulation of collaborative requirements engineering Original Research Article

Journal of Systems and Software, Volume 59, Issue 3, 15 December 2001, Pages 311-321 Friedrich Stallinger, Paul Grünbacher

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Abstract

Requirements engineering is generally seen as a success-critical activity in the software development process. Within this context, the paper presents selected aspects of the System Dynamics modelling and simulation of the EasyWinWin requirements negotiation methodology. EasyWinWin approaches requirements definition

as a learning rather than a gathering activity and aims at fostering stakeholder

co-operation and involvement. It is based on the WinWin requirements negotiation model and provides a set of collaborative techniques and tools to enable stakeholder interaction. The major goal behind the modelling and simulation effort is to assess

the issues associated with the social and behavioural aspects of the EasyWinWin process and to explore how these issues affect the overall outcome of the process.

In this paper, we introduce the EasyWinWin process and describe its major activities.

We present the overall System Dynamics-based simulation model of EasyWinWin and provide details and results of the requirements elicitation component of the model. Finally, we will discuss model validation and calibration and summarize conclusions

and insights obtained. An outlook on future work rounds out the paper.

624

A versatile virtual prototyping system for rapid product development Original Research Article

Computers in Industry, Volume 59, Issue 5, May 2008, Pages 477-488

S.H. Choi, H.H. Cheung

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625

Acquisition and validation of software requirements Original Research Article Knowledge Acquisition, Volume 6, Issue 4, December 1994, Pages 343-368

Brigitte Biébow, Sylvie Szulman

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626

Structural design in an automated building system Original Research Article Automation in Construction, Volume 10, Issue 1, November 2000, Pages 181-197

Rafael Sacks, Abraham Warszawski, Uri Kirsch

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627

A decision support system for floating platform design Original Research Article Ocean Engineering, Volume 26, Issue 9, October 1999, Pages 865-889

J. Vasconcellos

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628

The impact of requirements analysis upon user satisfaction with packaged software Information & Management, Volume 7, Issue 2, April 1984, Pages 83-90

R. H. Edmundson, D. R. Jeffery

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629

Process/equipment co-simulation for design and analysis of advanced energy systems Original Research Article

Computers & Chemical Engineering, Volume 34, Issue 9, 7 September 2010, Pages 1532-1542

Stephen E. Zitney

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630

Architecture of a multimedia communication system for technical documentation in a modern factory Original Research Article

Computers in Industry, Volume 36, Issues 1-2, 30 April 1998, Pages 83-93 Constantine A. Papandreou, Dionisis X. Adamopoulos

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美评级调降影响减弱本周聚焦欧洲与经济形势 _ 外汇频道 _ 东方财富网(https://www.wendangku.net/doc/4415477367.html,)首页|财经|股票|新股|期指|创业板|行情|数据|全球|港股|期货|外汇|黄金|基金|理财|银行|保险|债券|股吧|基金吧|博客|财迷|搜索

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道琼斯 11427.62 ↑158.6 ↑1.41% 纳斯达克 2543.37 ↑35.39 ↑1.41% 日经指数9086.41 ↑122.69

↑1.37% 香港恒指 20260.1 ↑640.09 ↑3.26% 德DAX 6063.44 ↑65.7 ↑1.10% 法CAC

3254.09 ↑40.21 ↑1.25% 英FT 5375.65 ↑55.62 ↑1.05% 奥ATX 2233.41 ↑81.74

↑3.80%

道琼斯 11427.62 ↑158.6 ↑1.41% 纳斯达克 2543.37 ↑35.39 ↑1.41% 日经指

数 9086.41

↑122.69 ↑1.37% 香港恒指 20260.1 ↑640.09 ↑3.26% 德DAX 6063.44 ↑65.7 ↑

1.10%

法CAC 3254.09 ↑40.21 ↑1.25% 英FT 5375.65 ↑55.62 ↑1.05% 奥ATX 2233.41

↑81.74

↑3.80% 北京时间08月15日 22:45:10伦敦时间08月15日 15:45:10纽约时间08月

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美评级调降影响减弱本周聚焦欧洲与经济形势

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标普调降美国AAA评级，再加上对经济二次衰退的忧虑只增不减，引发金融市场大地震，

全球股市蹦极跳，各市场走势跌宕起伏，外汇市场同样出现颇多看点，避险需求刺激瑞郎表

现最强，并引发瑞士央行频频出手干预，其他货币则基本维持在大区间内波动。本周投资者

继续关注欧美方面的动向，和经济走向。

美元指数则在乱世中起伏不定，美国评级调降的坏消息令美元指数上周初以73.97低开，

市场风险情绪的冰火淬变令美元于周中连续以大阴大阳的K线形态演绎行情，虽然振幅剧烈，

但缺乏明确方向的行情令美指陷于相比前一周更为狭窄的区间内波动，低见73.82，最高冲

至75.06，最终收于74.56的近期箱体中轴附近水平报收。整体而言，美元指数依然在72.70-76.00的大区间内来回震荡。

东方财富通手机炒股软件某些股割肉出逃肯定会后悔突发暴涨很可能不期而至股民福音：套牢股票有救了!

一方面是美国AAA遭调降，另一方面欧洲债务危机却出现新变化，有传闻称，法国AAA

评级也将被调降。此传闻引发对欧债危机扩散至欧元区核心国家的忧虑再度升温，引发避险

情绪进一步升温。

在美国和欧洲方面利空频传的打压下，金融市场上避险情绪迅速升温，美元、日元、瑞

郎和黄金等各类避险资产表现强劲，其中又以瑞郎表现最强。

上周二，美元/瑞郎大跌逾4%，并创纪录新低0.7067，欧元/瑞郎跌3.5%，至1.0096的

纪录新低。随后瑞士央行接连采取措施干预瑞郎升值，包括提供瑞郎流动性等措施。瑞士央

行上周四甚至暗示，可能将瑞郎与欧元挂钩。消息一出，瑞郎大跌。欧元和美元兑瑞郎在两

日内大涨约7%，创历来最大升幅。

瑞士央行副行长Thomas Jordan的表态引发了市场担忧。Jordan暗示，只要对维持物价

稳定有帮助，让瑞士法郎和欧元挂钩的临时措施也在考虑范围之内。

一些分析师认为，在让瑞士法郎与欧元挂钩之前，瑞士央行可能会先尝试其他措施，比如进一步的流动性措施等，因为汇率挂钩可能需要央行加大市场干预力度，以保证汇率在目标区间内波动。

美联储携手各大央行对经济评估悲观

除欧美债务问题引发全球金融市场震荡之外，对经济二次衰退的忧虑也令市场不安情绪在上周集中爆发。

美联储上周二公布了本年度第5次利率决议，一如市场预期般维持利率以及量化宽松政策不变，但首次承诺在2013年中前维持超低利率不变，同时对经济的评估低于上一次。

随后，越来越多的分析人士认为，随着美国经济前景愈发黯淡无光，美联储已然无意在可见的未来收紧货币政策，并正在为QE3的推出埋下伏笔。

美联储周二在声明中称，美国经济复苏较之前委员会预期的显著放慢。与此同时，整体就业市场的表现也不及预期。经济指标暗示就业市场复苏近几个月出现停滞，失业率也有所上扬。家庭支出非住宅类建筑的投资仍旧疲软，房产市场继续承压。

而近期其他各大央行均发表了对经济偏悲观的评论。

英国央行在上周三公布的季度通胀报告中，调低了对GDP和通胀的预期；8月5日，澳洲联储(RBA)公布季度货币政策报告申明，将2011年GDP预期下调至3.25%，此前为4.25%。该行同时上调了今明2年的基础通胀预期至3.25%。

日本央行更以实际行动向市场暗示，经济已大不如前，需额外政策支持。日本央行8月4日宣布维持利率在0-0.1%不变，符合预估。此决策获得委员一致通过，并增加资产购买规模，自10万亿日元提高至15万亿日元。

美国上周五公布的7月份零售额数据表现乐观，但8月份消费者信心指数差于预期，显示美国经济前景依然黯淡。本周各国将公布诸多经济数据，将对全球经济形势和市场信心带来严峻考验。

本周关注

由于市场已基本消化了标普下调美国信用评级的影响，本周焦点将转向欧洲和全球经济形势上。本周澳洲联储和英国央行都将公布8月会议纪要，随着区域债务危机波及法国市场的担忧不断升级，法国总统萨科齐和德国总理默克尔也将于本周举行会议，以商讨应对机制。

风险事件一：澳洲联储8月会议记录

澳洲联储8月2日宣布维持利率在4.75%不变，符合预期。澳洲联储称，全球经济增长放缓，维持当前政策是谨慎之举。

澳大利亚最大的投资银行——麦格理集团(Macquarie Group Ltd.)资深经济学家Brian Redican

2日表示，市场对澳洲联储(RBA)会议声明的反应可能与其升息预期的逆转相关。

Redican表示：“澳洲联储的此次决定更像是推迟作出一项不可避免的措施，而非永久性的维持利率不变。”

澳洲联储8月5日公布季度货币政策报告申明，将2011年GDP预期下调至3.25%，此前为4.25%，但对2012和2013年预期维持3.75%不变。该行同时上调了今明2年的基础通胀预期至3.25%。

澳新银行(ANZBank)表示，全球市场振荡信贷市场恶化，澳洲联储称市场充满严重不确定性，维持目标利率，但如果信贷市场继续恶化，不排除下调利率的可能性。

风险事件二：英国央行8月3-4日会议纪要

英国央行货币政策委员会(MPC)8月4日公布8月利率决议。决议宣布，维持利率在0.50%不变。同时，英国央行决议仍维持量化宽松规模在2,000亿英镑不变。利率和量化宽松规模

均的本次决定符合预期。

英国央行8月10日公布的季度通胀报告显示，两年后英国消费者物价指数(CPI)料在1.8%左右，5月时料1.9%。基于市场利率走势，2011年四季度CPI将在约5%触顶，5月预估为5.0%。

若维持利率不变，通胀将在2013年中期回落至2%下方，5月时预估为2.34%。该央行称，通胀率两年后高于或低于目标位的概率大致均等。

英国央行行长金恩(Mervyn King)同时发表讲话称，通胀仍面临上行风险。

风险事件三：德法首脑会议

法国信用违约掉期(CDS)在过去的六周已经向上翻了两倍至169.8基点，该值为美国的3倍，而此前美国AAA评级被标普(Standard &

Poors)调降。

随着区域债务危机波及法国市场的担忧不断升级，法国总统萨科齐(Nicolas Sarkozy)和德国总理默克尔(Chancellor Angela

Merkel)将于下周举行会议，以商讨应对机制。

周一

日本第二季度名义GDP初值

瑞士 7月生产者/进口物价指数

美国 8月纽约联储制造业指数

美国 6月国际资本净流入

美国 8月NAHB房价指数

周二

澳洲联储公布8月货币政策会议记录

德国第二季度GDP初值

英国 7月零售物价指数

英国 7月消费者物价指数

欧元区 6月贸易帐

欧元区第二季度GDP初值

美国 7月新屋开工

美国 7月工业产出

美国 7月制造业产出

周三

欧元区 6月经常帐

英国 7月失业率

英国央行公布8月3-4日货币政策委员会会议纪录

欧元区 7月消费者物价指数终值

美国 7月生产者物价指数

周四

日本 7月商品贸易帐

英国 7月季调后零售销售

加拿大 7月领先指标

美国 7月消费者物价指数

美国上周初请失业金人数

美国 7月NAR季调后成屋销售

美国 7月谘商会领先指标

美国 8月费城联储制造业指数

周五

德国 7月生产者物价指数

英国 7月公共部门净借款

英国 7月政府收支短差

加拿大 7月消费者物价指数

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