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《国际金融新编》第6版名师姜波克讲义与考研真题

《国际金融新编》第6版名师姜波克讲义与考研真题
《国际金融新编》第6版名师姜波克讲义与考研真题

《国际金融新编》第6版名师姜波克讲义与考研真题第一章导论

1.1复习笔记

考点一、本书的研究对象

国际金融学是从货币角度研究内部均衡条件下外部平衡实现问题的一门学科。

外部变量:国际收支和汇率。

内部变量:货币供应量和物价水平。

研究方向:内部均衡和外部平衡的相互关系。

研究目标:短期是从货币角度研究总供给与总需求相平衡下外部平衡的实现问题;长期是从货币角度研究经济(可)持续增长前提下外部平衡的实现问题。

考点二、本书的国情基础与研究视角

1中国的经济总量已具有世界影响

到2016年,按国内生产总值衡量,中国经济总规模已跃居全球第二位,对世界有举足轻重的影响,而中国经济的发展也日益离不开世界市场。因此,任何经济政策的出台,不仅要考虑国内的需要,还要考虑维护和珍惜一个公平公正的世界市场环境的需要。

2中国仍然是一个发展中国家

虽然国内生产总值总规模居世界前列,但若就人均来看,中国还排在一个相对靠后的位置。因此,实现外部平衡应当是在我国经济增长条件下的目标,即国内总

供给和总需求相等必须伴随着供给和需求水平的同步提高,国际收支的平衡或可持续必须以国内经济增长为前提,维持外部平衡不能以牺牲经济增长为代价。

3中国的自然资源状况紧张

中国对自然资源的需求较高,因此在对外经济交往中,应当注意本国资源的节约和外国资源的利用。在维持外部平衡时,应当注意进出口产品的结构,采用产业政策、汇率政策等手段引导国内资源的节约和国外资源的利用。

4中国人口众多,年龄结构变化,人口红利逐渐消失

中国人口数量庞大,这一点在成为经济发展重要动力的同时,也会为就业、资源和福利水平的提升带来不小的困难。同时,在未来的几十年内,我国的人口年龄结构将发生变化,适龄劳动力会减少,社会储蓄率也会下降。人口红利的逐步消失,将会对我国未来的经济增长速度、经济增长模式和外部平衡问题产生深刻的影响。

5中国的经济增长方式仍然以外延型增长为主

在过去数十年中,中国经济的增长除依靠高端技术外,更多的是依靠低价使用本国低端技术和自然资源,以及持续投入本国廉价劳动力来实现的,这种增长可被称为外延型经济增长。随着人口红利的逐步消失,劳动力也将逐步变得相对稀缺,加之其他生产资源(要素)还会越来越紧张,长远来看,中国外延性增长的可持续性不容乐观,经济发展应由数量扩张向质量提高转变。现阶段对内部均衡和外部平衡的追求,应当对经济增长方式的转变有所考虑。

6中国的经济发展在很大程度上依赖于对外经济交流

改革开放以来,中国经济的增长和就业水平的提高越来越依赖世界市场,出口部门对我国经济的影响力较大。

考点三、本书的研究方法和逻辑

本书共分为三部分。第一部分以国际收支为切入点,以货币的相对价格即汇率为核心,介绍总供给与总需求相等条件下外部平衡调节的短期调节理论和经济可持续增长条件下外部平衡调节的长期调节理论。第二部分介绍汇率制度选择、外汇直接管制、货币当局的外汇市场干预等政策性内容在外部平衡实现中的作用。第三部分介绍经济全球化条件下国际金融市场对内外均衡的影响,以及金融全球化条件下的国际协调等现实情况。本书的研究逻辑见图1-1:

图1-1本书知识路线图

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Text 2 Do you remember all those years when scientists argued that smoking would kill us but thedoubters insisted that we didn‘t know for sure? That the evidence was inconclusive, the scienceuncertain? That the antismoking lobby was out to destroy our way of life and the government shouldstay out of the way? Lots of Americans bought that nonsense, and over three decades, some 10million smokers went to early graves. There are upsetting parallels today, as scientists in one wave after another try to awaken us tothe growing threat of global warming. The latest was a panel from the National Academy ofSciences, enlisted by the White House, to tell us that the Earth‘s atmosphere is definitely warmingand that the problem is largely man-made. The clear message is that we should get moving to protectourselves. The president of the National Academy, Bruce Alberts, added this key point in the prefaceto the panel‘s report: ―Science never has all the answers. But science does provide us with the bestavailable guide to the future, and it is critical that our nation and the world base important policieson the best judgments that science can provide concerning the future consequences of presentactions.‖Just as on smoking, voices now come from many quarters insisting that the science about globalwarming is incomplete, that it‘s OK to keep pouring fumes into the air until we know for sure. Thisis a dangerous game: by the time 100 percent of the evidence is in, it may be too late. With the risksobvious and growing, a prudent people would take out an insurance policy now. Fortunately, the White House is starting to pay attention. But it‘s obvious that a majority of thepresident‘s advisers still don‘t take global warming seriously. Instead of a plan of action, theycontinue to press for more research —a classic case of ―paralysis by analysis.‖ To serve as responsible stewards of the planet, we must press forward on deeper atmosphericand oceanic research. But research alone is inadequate. If the Administration won‘t take thelegis lative initiative, Congress should help to begin fashioning conservation

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精品值得阅读 相信相信的力量 阅读使人快乐,成长需要时间 How does the brain know when carbohydrates have been or should be consumed? The answer to this question is not known, but one element in the explanation seems to be the neurotransmitter sero-tonin (血清素), one of a class of chemical mediators that may be released from a pre-synaptic neuron and that cause the transmission of a nerve impulse across a synapse (突触) to an adjacent postsynaptic neuron. In general, it’s been found that drugs that selectively facilitate serotonin-mediated neuro-transmission tend to cause weight loss, whereas drugs that block serotonin-mediated transmission often have the opposite effect: they often induce carbohydrate craving and consequent weight gain. Serotonin is a derivative of tryptophan (色氨酸), an amino acid that is normally present at low levels in the bloodstream. 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考研英语买什么资料好 吕升运的《考研圣经》被称为“考研英语二最好的真题”当之无愧。许多英语基础薄弱的考生用了这本真题,成绩都得到了大幅的提升。 如今,越来越多的考生选择这本真题,品牌效应的影响力只是一小部分,影响更大的还是其交口称赞的好口碑。 一、绝无仅有,真题最为全面深入的解读 该书对真题中的所有文章都进行了细致的解读,词汇和语法的解读无疑不精。为了让考生在短期内大幅度提升词汇量,该书对词汇做了全面的解读和拓展。 词汇的近反义词,派生词,词根词缀,还有相关搭配都做了全面的注解。这样考生可以通过联想记忆法,发散思维,从一个单词出发,大幅提升词汇量。

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