Argument 提纲

41Argument 37

1.crime rates and property may not relative to the program.Each of them is influenced by other aspects,not just through depending on using substandard housing near the freeway.(list the possible influences )

2.Ten year's ago the program is useful,but it may not suit today's circumstances.Taking the same action may lead possible problems.

3.whether the declining area on the opposite side of city can take the similar action to obtain the same reward.This program cannot fit every area.

4.Some housing and apartment in existing nearby neighborhood are unoccupied,alternate housing for those display by this action will be readily https://www.wendangku.net/doc/c317987024.html,ing these houses have some matters need to solve.Such as,the property of these houses.These house may have some other uses in the future.

Argument 38 95 96

1.Have a new fabric supplier,but the production of this coat is also related to other material,for example,the expense of machine,cotton,worker's wage.So,wether they can resume produce this coat is still needed discussion.

2.Major competitor no longer makes an alpaca overcoat,whether there will be pent-up customer demand.The reason for they stoping produce this coat may the decreasing demand of the marketing.So,reproduce this coat will possible risk a loss.

3.Even the price of most types of clothing has increased in each of the past years,customers may not willing to pay significantly higher prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago.The average payment people spent on the clothing has decreased in recent five years for the high price of the clothing.

4..Even there are demand for the overcoat,whether reproduction of this coat will certainly bring huge profits.One company's profit is related to the production material cost and the transaction price.Only supply enough proofs can prove what the author said.

Argument 39 174

1.Two-income families eat fewer home-cooked food and concern more about healthy food.But seafood is not stand for healthy food or not home-cooked.They may prefer eating fruit,vegetable,beef,an so forth.

2.Seafood restaurant that specializes in seafood may not be quite popular or profitable.To judge wether a restaurant is profitable is to analyze the restaurant attracting enough customers,the profit can cover the money they spend on advertising and keeping restaurant normal operation.

3.No currently operating city restaurant specialty is seafood,if opening an new one it may not popular as other restaurants.The reason for there are no seafood restaurant is just for opening such restaurant cannot bring profit to the owner.

4.Two-income families are not stands for rich families.They may prefer more affordable food,instead of choosing seafood.

Argument 40

1.Since milk and dairy products are rich in vitamin D and calcium,but there are no proof reveal that people can absorb most of vitamin D and calcium contained in milk and dairy products.It is very likely that people can only absorb little VD and Ca,most of them cannot be utilized by people.So,it cannot through whether consistently consuming milk and dairy products to judge the

possibility of risking osteoporosis.

2.This disease link to both environment and genetic factors,people's bone also weaken significant with age.This long-term study did not ruling out the differences among people that received investigation.Even them consistently consumed dairy products and milk,their genetic factors and living environment causing them with higher possibility in risking osteoporosis.At the same time,it is a long-term study,and people are easy to get this disease with the time goes by.Other participants who did not consume milk and dairy products should be compared with people in the same age that consumed consistently milk and dairy.The author also need to ruling out the affect of environment and genetic.Maybe people live in this region lacking exercise,and the food them usually eat are obtain little VD and Ca.So,the suffer more probability to get the disease.

3.Bone fractures cannot reflect that people getting osteoporosis.The factors leading bone fractures are numerous,such as,laking exercise,obtain limited calcium,or even genetic.So,just depending bone fractures we cannot get enough information.

Argument 41 123 125

1.The surveys about the number of bicyclists wearing helmet and the number of bicycle-related accident are both increasing during the same ten-year period cannot constitute reasonable relation.Each of they is independence survey.The author need to provide enough proof to confirm the relationship between them.It is probably that if the number of bicyclists who wearing helmet is less than 10 years ago,the rate of bicycle-related accident would increasing more than 200 percent.More reasonable factors needed to be know.

2.The number of bicycle-related accident may caused by other matters.The average driving standard of drivers is poor compared to ten years ago,or the road is not suitable for driving because of the recent year's bad weather,or even the newly published policy can also influence the rate of bicycle-related accident,it allows a higher driving speed or a lower limited driver's age.All these aspects can lead to the increasing rate of accidents.

3.Even I concede that wearing helmet is the reason for the increasing rate of bicycle-related,but I need more proof to prove through concentrating more on education about bicycle accidents and less on encouraging or requiring bicyclists to wear helmet can fundamentally solve problems. Maybe the accidents caused by wearing helmet is usually unserious,and they are often slightly friction without casualties.So,in order to solve serious injures just through controlling wearing helmets or education may obtain less reward.The government has to seek other more valid solutions.

Argument 42

1.We have no idea wether the erosion of beach sand along the shores of Tria Island is caused by people.Charging people for using the beaches may not the best solution.Erosion of beach can be caused by weather,geographic movement,industry pollution,or all of them.A series of aspects can lead to the erosion.So,in order to make an affirmatory conclusion more work needed to be done.Just depending on partial proof,the author cannot hastily join an conclude that people should responsible for erosion of the beach.

2.The author said that charging for people would bring an bad effect to the tourist industry in the short term,it would raise money for replenishing the sand.It has much probably that because of charging for people,few people choose to visit here if they had another choice that free for

people.With less visitors,it is hard for the government to gain money for replenishing the beach.This policy would bring some unexpected consequences.The author did not provide any proofs to prove this policy would being constant income.Without reliable reasons,I can hardly believe what the author said.

3.Protecting buildings on the nearby island of Batia,will help protecting buildings along our shores,thereby reducing these buildings' risk of additional damage from severe storms.So,Tria's tourist industry will improve over the long term.I did not have any information to support that Batia's buildings are related to the Tria's tourism,even they are nearby.Maybe through protecting the buildings in Batia,more people would like to go Batia instead of Tria.Thus,it would directly influence Tria's tourist industry.Or,Batia's building have no relationship to Tria at all,and it would not help protect buildings along our shores,,not to mention improving over the long term.All these possible factors needed to take into consideration,only after analyzing all the possible result can the author get a reliable solution.

Argument 43

1.Even during the past two years,the town's residents have been recycled twice as much material as they did in previous,but I do not know the the total amount of the garbage.It has much possible that the amount of garbage today has increased more than twice compared to two years ago.So,with the garbage's increasing rate is faster than the garbage's recycled speed,West Egg's landfill would be completely filled within five years or even less years.Without accounting this possible circumstances,the author cannot make valid conclusion,I cannot believe what he said is reasonable.

2.The author inferred charges for pickup of other household garbage will double from the increasing amount of recycled material--which includes paper,plastic,and metal.This deduction is not affirmatory.Just depending on several particular materials the author cannot get the information of all other material.They do not have an confirm relationship,the increasing recycling of paper,plastic,and mental may be with the decreasing recycling of other household garbage,for example,polluted water,articles for daily use. Hasty conclusion may lead the author's word lacking reasonable support,it is hardly for readers to agree with him.

3.The prediction was made two years ago,it is likely that the prediction do not suit today's circumstances.With the government advocating for living a more healthy and environment-friendly life,and newly published policies awarding people who recycles a certain amount of garbage.What's more,people have a stronger sense of protecting our environment compared two years ago.They are more likely to recycle garbage than before and pay more attention on the using recycled wast materials.After these series of action,the available space in our landfill should last for considerable longer than predicted.

P10

Argument 44

1.The author said mining copper on this land will inevitably result in pollution.But he did not give enough and reasonable proofs to prove his word.It is much likely that the production of mining is under strict supervision,so,the pollution will not be so great as the author said.What's more,the CCC has gotten much money as reward,it might use a certain amount of fund to protecting environment.The result may not be so bad as the author predicted

2.What's more,the author care about several endangered animal species which West Fredonia is

their home.He thought mining copper in this area would bring huge disaster to them.It might not bring disaster to their habitat, as the author said.If the habitat is far from the mining area,or these several animal are living in the natural reserve,where beyond human destruction.They might not suffer from environment disaster.All these circumstances should be took in consideration,the author cannot hastily give his own view.

3.Even I concede that what the author said is valid,but I cannot bolster the solution what the author proposed.He thought such disasters can be prevented if consumers simply refuse to purchase products that are made with CCC's copper.This viewpoint is so superficial,the author ignored many possible factors that might influence consumer behavior.Maybe the production that are made with CCC's copper are closely related to normal people life.They cannot live without using these productions,and the price of these productions made by CCC's copper is lower compared to other companies.So,people will usually choose the productions that are made with CCC's copper.Without ruling out this possible situation the author cannot gain the support from other people.

P13

Argument 45 49

1.First the author give the example Humana University.He thought a significant decrease from prior years in expenditures for dormitory and classroom space were caused by the increasing number of the students who enrolled in online degree programs.This view needed more proofs to prove its valid.Many other factors may also leading to the same consequence.Maybe more student choose to go back home after one-day study.So,,less dormitories are needed.At the same time,classroom do not need maintenance every year,students here are told to more care about classroom's maintenance,and the number of students in this university is constant,no more space is needed as the time goes by.So,it is not necessary to spend much money no classroom space.Without accounting these series of circumstances,the author cannot give reasonable conclusion.

2.In order to solve Humana University's problem the author advice it should immediately to create and actively promote online degree programs like those at Omni.The author did not analyze the difference between these two universities.Maybe the action is suitable for Omni,but totally impeding Humana's future developing.Omni may located in an area where the economy is not so developed,computer is not widespread.If Omni take this solution,many student would loss the opportunity to study for laking computers,so is unfair to these compared not so well-off students.Or comparing using Internet Humana's student more prefer to study at school,they can have interaction with other students and teacher,through this way they can obtain more things,no matter knowledge or the ability of communication.

3.In the last the author predicted that instituting these online degree programs will help Humana both increase its total enrollment and solve its budget problems.It is too superficial to put forward this view.To judge whether an action is helpful to increase enrollment or budget problems we need to know the fundamental causing factors of these problems.First,if we want to increase the enrollment,more facilities need to be invited in,teachers in this university must obtain higher educational quality,using more scientific and efficient teaching mode.After taking all these improving methods,university can believe that they may attract more students to study in their school.As to budget problems,if one university can attract more students,their income will be increasing,through spending these money in a scientific way,they would solve this problem in the

end,and this university would have a more promising future.

Argument 46

1.The author made several mistakes.Firstly,an area with highest computer ownership may not indicate that people in this area are usually spend the longest time on computer.The high rate may just reflect that people's life or work in this area are related to computer,they need to solve many matters depending on computer.So,many families in this region obtain an computer.Just for their life is related computer they would like to cost more time no fitness than other regions.In order to an a balance and healthy life,people here taking more exercise to keep fit.Thus there is not existing

a particular relationship between computer ownership and spending too much on computer.

2.An area people with a higher rate of obtaining computer may reflect people here are usually living a well-off life.Because they have redundant money,they may care more about other things just like healthy and spirit entertainment.So,there are an increasing fitness rate instead of the predicted decreasing one.

3.Whether the recent decline in economy can be reflected by low expenditures on fitness-related products and service is questionable.May be the reason leading to the low expenditures is just the local government did not pay much attention on citizens' fitness,or the fitness-related products are usually with a low utilization rate in this region.So,in order not to waste more money,the government choose to spend less funds no it.

Argument 47 111 112

1.Even Movies Galore's(MG) is famous for its low prices,it may not bring bad effect on its profit if they increase the prices.Because once the price is not beyond the customers consuming ability,people may keep watching movies in MG.Maybe even MG raising their price,its price is much lesser than other movie-rental stores.So,this action is not bound to causing the further profits decreasing.

2.The author also put forward a solution is reducing operating hours by closing at 6:00p.m rather than 9:00p.m.This suggestion sound not so valid.Shorting the operating hours means fewer customers can rental movies in these stores,the direct influence is the decreasing of profits.Even cutting the operating hours can short the expense of operating,but the author did not give proof that the money saved by cutting time can cover the decreasing income leaded by less customers.More information needed to give,only we analyze the different consequences that each action may lead to,can we make a reasonable conclusion.

3.The new policies about reducing overall inventory by no longer stocking any DVD released more than 5 years ago did not received many complaints,the author think other stores should all take it.There are several points the author need to give more detail explanation.It is much probable that many people oppose this polies,but only a few of their complaints are received by MG,or many people do not know how and where to express their discontents.Received few complaints not means a small number of people oppose this policy.A more large investigation need to be done,more people's views need to de included.So, it can provide a more reliable consequence and reflect the true circumstance.

Argument 48

1.Whether natural beauty and a consistent climate can join the attention of retirees?The author did not give any proofs to explain it.Maybe,a large number of retirees concern more about the convenient transition and sound medical system instead of natural beauty and consistent climate.Without ruling out the possible situations,the conclusion cannot convince me,more information about the retirees' appetite should be given.

2.Another advantages the author given is the housing cost in Clearview have fallen significantly during the past year.Even the price has fallen significant,but it is much likely that the housing price in Clearview is still higher than other regions.The price here cannot be regard as an advantage.And the author did not provide the matters that causing the decreasing.Maybe the living environment is not suitable for people living anymore with the surrounding environment have been polluted by factories nearby.Or the new policy claims that the people living in these region needed to pay more for housing maintenance or the housing location is far from the downtown,causing the citizens living here with many problems.If the author cannot give reasons for the decreasing price,we may doubt whether the environment, location,transition or other factors are suitable for living people,it may not be a good choice to seek a place in C after retiring.

3.The author compared the C's taxes with neighboring town,and then joined the conclusion that the taxes in C is lower,so,it is another advantage for C.It may seem reliable at the first glance,but it cannot bear further analyzing.The taxes in C only compared with one neighboring town,may be both taxes in C and the neighboring town is much higher than the nationwide average taxes,it is far beyond retirees' capability to pay.The consequence is superficial,if the author want us to bolster his view,he need to list a series of proofs to prove his word is convincing.

4.To further support his standpoint,the author said the mayor here promises many new programs to improve school,streets,and public service.But promise cannot stand for the true action.May be the mayor just want to attract more people choosing C,it is an effective way.Just depending on the mayor's word,we can hardly believe all these improvements would be practiced exactly in the end.If the author want to prove it is reliable,he should provide the policies that the government has already published containing these improvements' detail implement.

5.With the number of physicians in the area is far greater than the national average cannot reflect the area with greater health care.Health care is involving the quality of medical treatment, physicians' standards and high-tech medical facilities.With the great number of physicians can only reflect a small part of the whole aspect.If the author want his view more reasonable his should take all these factors into consideration.

Argument 50

The author recommended an ancient,traditional remedy for insomnia,in order to support his view,the author gave an experiment involving lavender flowers.But there are several points he need to give more information and valid proofs, without proofs,we can hardly believe these things with logical problem are convincing and correct.

1.The first one is wether 30 volunteers can represent most of people.Only 30 volunteers received the experiments,maybe some people among these 30 volunteers have other diseases that also influencing sleeping quality,and lavender have some good effect on these diseases as well.So,we cannot distinguish whether lavender is an remedy for insomnia.If the author wants this recent

study more reliable,he should choose more people,and guarantee these volunteers are representative and without other diseases that may also influence the result of the study.Without ruling out these probably phenomena,I cannot convince what the author said and the consequence of the study reflect the true result.

2.Second thing is 30 volunteers still taking their usual sleeping medication during the first and second week in addition to the lavender treatment.It has much probably that the volunteers slept longer and more soundly than in the previous two weeks is not the effect of lavender but the usual medicine.What's more,in the first two weeks,volunteers slept soundly but wakened feeling tired.For they both received medicine and lavender treatment,we do not know which one leading to the sound symptom,and which one bringing bad effect on it.Maybe lavender do not have the remedy as the author said,it has contradictory effect--30 volunteers felt more tired--the consequence just opposing the word what the author said.If the author wants us to bolster his opinion,he need to analyze all these things,only ruling out these possible factors can we get the reasonable conclusion.

3.Thirdly,after recommending the study,the author joined the conclusion that lavender cures insomnia within a short period of time.This conclusion is full of logical mistakes.Only after taking 3 weeks cure(n.),it has high possibility that during the fourth week,some volunteers restart sleeping unsoundly and even more tired,lavender cannot have effect on these symptom anymore.Without long time observation,the author cannot say this treatment efficiently cure this https://www.wendangku.net/doc/c317987024.html,ually many patients with an particular disease having the experience that at a time feeling they are totally recovery,but in fact,every disease has its incubation,it has much probably one day these symptom may reappear.

4.Can chronic insomnia represent all insomnia patients.Chronic insomnia just belong to one kind of insomnia.Even I convince that lavender is helpful to the chronic insomnia,but I cannot easily believe it is good for all kinds of insomnia.Maybe lavender has contradictory effect on other insomnia

Argument 53 144 151

The author recommended that citizens of Forsythe have adopted more healthful lifestyle.In order to support his view,several proofs were listed.But they were not as valid as the author thought,some logical mistakes let me hardly believe what the author said was reliable.I need more detail and reasonable informations.

1.Firstly,the author said compared to ten years ago,people in recent survey reflected that in their eating habits they conform more closely to government nutritional recommendations.It cannot reflect any valuable informations.Maybe ten years ago,people's eating habits were totally opposing the government recommendations.In recent years,people have slightly changed in their eating habits,even to some extent their habits are also not healthy,but compared to 10 years ago,it was more better.And we cannot know the government's recommendations matching the requirement of healthy eating.It has much probably that this recommendation in some points may have bad effects on people's health.If people keeping their eating habits as the recommendations for a long time,the possibility of suffering some diseases would higher than people who do not obey it.So,without ruling out possible phenomena I can hardly agree with the author said.

2.Secondly,the author said that there has been a fourfold increase in sales of food products containing kiran,which can reduce cholesterol.It also cannot show that people's eating habits are

more healthy.Even the sales of food containing kiran are increasing,maybe the total amount of consuming is still low.Because people in ten years ago nearly not eating these kinds of food,thus even with fourfold increasing,the amount of food is also very litter.And even these food containing kiran,but the author cannot guarantee people would absorb most of it.Maybe most of kiran cannot be absorb by people through just ordinarily eating these food,some other food or fruit needed to eat at the same time to help people gaining more kiran.Or food containing kiran can help reducing cholesterol,but the author did not mention that wether they would causing other diseases.

3.Thirdly,the author also mention the trend in reduced sales of sulia.He also said few healthy citizens regularly eating it.Healthy citizens are not eating it cannot represent it is healthy.Maybe these citizens have customer usually do not eating sulia,or they just for dislike,so they do not choose it.All these factors can lead to the decreasing sales of suila,it do not have any relationship to the healthy eating.If the author wants to provide more reliable examples,he need to consider more things and possible causing matters.Without it,I would think the conclusion that the author recommend is superficial,it do not reflect the truth.

Information is U.

Argument 54 144 151

The author recommended that 7,000myears ago human arrived in the Kaliko Island,and within 3,000 years most of the large mammal species that had lived in the forest of the Kaliko Island had became extinct.Even this extinct was happened after human started living in the same island,the author did not think it is the true factor that leading to the mammal's extinction.To bolster his view,some proofs are given.To some extent it seems reasonable and convincing,but it cannot bear further analyzing,several logical mistakes let me hardly believe what the author said is completely right.Without more information and details,I cannot agree with the view that human are not the reason for causing mammal's distinction.

1.Firstly,the author said that there is no evidence that the humans had any significant contact with the mammals.This view exist many logical errors.Even people did not have contact with the mammal,they could also influence them through many other ways.Human could change the environment they were living.In order to reproduce,human need more clothing,food,and some other necessities.These requirement could bring a series of influences to the around environment.They might eating some fruits that also belongs to mammal's principal food,or they fell trees in the forest,destroyed mamma's habitat.All these activities would causing mammal's extinction.But the author did not consider these possible phenomena,without taking these factors to the consideration I cannot believe the view he proposed is right.

2.Secondly,the author gave the evidence of numerous sites where the bones of fish had been discarded,whereas,no such areas containing the bones of large mammals.Without founding such sites the author inferred that humans cannot have hunted the mammals.The biggest mistake the author made is confusing with the relationship between no fond and no exist.Scientists still have not discovered the bones of the mammal,maybe there were a place containing significant bones but still unknown by scientists.Or the ancestors using mammal's bone as decoration or money,so we can hardly find an area that with numerous bones.The possible reasons if the author cannot give examples to prove cannot be true,I will think one of them is correct,while the author said is totally wrong.

3.Even I convince what the author raised is right,but I cannot accept the view that the climate change or other environmental factors must have caused the species's extinctions.If human is not the main factor,but the author did not give other information proving climate or environmental factors are surely principal causing mammal's death.In order to ruling out other possible factors,the author should give the relating data or experimental consequences or archaeological evidences.Maybe disease causing the mammal's extinctions,or the food shortage.What's more maybe some species specially hunting they for food can also causing the significant death.Without ruling out these conditions,I cannot agree with the author.The recommendation he put forward is superficial,and his view is partial.If he wants to gain more people's support he should give more reliable evidences and consider comprehensively.

Argument 55

1.Whether the sales of Whirlwind video games have declined for the video games' features.Maybe their products are too expensive,or their productions are less competitive compared to other companies' productions,or the advertising is not enough,many people do not know them.What's more people living in these region do not like playing such kind of games can also be the reason for the decline.

2.Whirlwind has just introduced several such games with an extensive advertising campaign directed at ten to twenty-five years old.But there are no evidences that the survey is directed to the same age.It has high possibility that people involving this survey are usually over thirty,so the adverting towards ten to twenty-five would gain little profits.And even they think providing lifelike graphics,which require the most up-to-date computers is the most important features.But it cannot stand for this is the factor that most attracting their attention to buy.Whirlwind introduced such games may not bring different to their sales.

3.In the end the author said the sales of whirlwind video games are likely to increase dramatically is unconvincing.Sales increasing involving whether the profits of productions' sales money can cover the expense on adverting,employee's salary,facilities maintenance and other cost.Only through judging the products containing the features that concluded from simple survey can hardly give an reliable conclusion.It is too hasty to say the sales would increase dramatically in the next few years.Many unpredicted matters can all influence the consequence,without more detail analyzing,the author is failing to let readers agree with his viewpoint.

Argument 56 57 82

1.This company's customer actually purchases new Dura-Socks every three months despite DS' socks' durability.The author confuses with the logical relationship between these two matter.Even DS' stock is durable,but people would like to buy the latest style.Among hundreds of stock bands people choose DS maybe just for their good quality and fashion styles.Customers buying new stocks within an comparative short time not means they do not caring the duration of stock and the process of producing this kind of stock would bring no profits anymore.

2.Even the survey did in DS' largest market reflects that customer most value DS' stylish appearance and availability in many color.For this investigation result the author inferred that patented Endure manufacturing process is useless and wasting money.This conclusion is hasty and superficial.This can only prove customers in these region's appetite,other region's people may not

share these same interest.Northeastern United States cities are DS' main marketing,but in order guarantee this company have a long-round development,the company also need to pay attention to other comparative smaller marketings.These regions can help the company's products taking a constant market share,it is significant for a company's healthy operation.

3.In the end,the author said these finding suggest that we can increase our profits by discontinuing use of the Endure manufacturing process.This conjecture is unwarranted, the author cannot get this conclusion just depending no this simple investigation.A company's success is involving its profits can cover expense on normal operation,hiring employees,facilities' maintenance and purchasing for original materials these series of costs.Only through more accurate analyzing and acquiring more reliable information can the author recommend that this company will have a promising future through discontinuing use of the endure manufacturing process.

Argument 59

1.The competitor Domus Construction have such features and have sold much faster and at significantly higher prices than the national average.It is much likely that DC's good sales performance are not for their having such feature homes,but for their excellently advertising and high building's quality.Most of people in this region know DC has constructed new homes with a large family room and a large,well-appointed kitchen,and through their advertises they pay more attention on this company than others.Or DC is famous for their high qualities and good after-sales service,thus,customers more preferring to choose this company.So,we cannot know wether DC's success is caused by series of advertising methods or their high qualities or their homes' construction.The author did not give enough proofs to support his view,it is hardly for us to believe what he said is reliable.

2. The author recommended that in order to boost sales and profits,BB should increase the size of the family rooms and kitchens in all the homes and make state-of-the-art kitchens a standard feature.The author's view is superficial just depending on a nationwide survey and DC's situations.He did not compare the two companies differences and wether the survey can reflect local situation.BB is competitive in small construction homes,if they hastily take this action to change their homes' constructions,customers will not bound to choose such new homes compared to DC's and after losing their most competitive constructions,it is much likely their profits will suffer great depression.What's more, many people in this region have the opposite appetite,they do not like a large family room and a large,well-appointed kitchen.All these possibilities will cause BB cannot gain the expected result,to the contrary,they may face great depression.Without ruling out these probably phenomena,I think what the author said is unconvincing.

3.In the end,the author put forward that larger family rooms and kitchens can come at the expense of the dining room,since many of our recent buyers say they do not need a separate dining room.This is just the recent buyer's opinion,I do not know customers will always hold the view.Maybe after several weeks,new buyers say they pay more attention on homes with separate dining room.For customers' view varying through time and people,the author cannot guarantee his view is suitable for all circumstances.Without further detail analyzing I think the author's thought is totally unreasonable,I can hardly bolster he.

Argument 60 145 146 150 154 155

The author provided many proofs to bolster his view and recommended investment in Consolidate Industries.But these proofs are not reasonable and exist several logical mistakes,I can hardly believe what he said is totally right.If he wants his recommendation more tenable and persuade clients to take his view possible phenomena should be eliminated and more reliable information should be given.

1.Firstly,the author believed the climate forecasters can predict weather correctly.Someone with normal sense knows that climate forecasters often predict wrong data,maybe today is a bright sunny day,but according to yesterday's prediction it should be a rainy day.Just depending on climate forecasters, we cannot get reliable information.What's more,in the recent years,the climate is always unstable,it changes fast and unpredictable.Only in one day,it may rain morning,the afternoon sun,let alone several years in the future.

2.Even I convinced what the author said about climate is right,but his view towards more oil will be used is unreasonable.In order to meet more people's housing requirement,new homes would be built in this region,the author predicted an increased demand for heating oil.But he did not consider many possible factors.New homes might be built containing its own heating system using nature gas or other source as fuel.Nature gas is more environmental friendly compared to oil,and with a high price of oil,it becomes unaffordable for many normal families,new energy sources would replace oil as the main heating fuel gradually.

3.Even the author's recommendation about climate and oil usage are all correct,but he fails to prove that investing CI would bring profits to its clients in the end.CI's major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil,but the author did not give information about wether people in the northeastern United States always choosing CI to purchase heating oil.Maybe there are several same factories whose major business operation are also home heating oil,and they are more competitive than CI,with lower price and shorter transportation distance.So,the author's advice (n.)about investing CI is untenable.Investment which company clients should know wether this company's productions are competitive,sharing certain market share and these productions obtaining consistently requirement with the time goes by.All these information should be given to clients,helping clients to judge wether investing this company is correct.But the author did not analyze all these possible situations,it is hardly to persuade clients to take their advice.

Argument 61 139 141 143

1.The author recommended that private contribution to the symphony increased by 200 percent and attendance at the symphony's concerts-in-the-park series double.For these phenomena,the author proposed eliminating next year's funding.But even the donation and attendance have increased,but the author did not give the original data about these two factor.Maybe,the private contribution and attendance are both almost none.So,even with great boosting,the numbers are still very little.And the author gave last year's information,does it suitable for next years?Without detail analyzing and ruling out possible situation,I can hardly convince what the author said is reliable.

2.The symphony announced an increase in ticket prices next year,this action may cause fewer attendances.Even I believe what the author said about the increasing number of private contribution and attendance,and in order to maintain such running start,more practical methods needed to be implemented.People has high possibilities do not come there for high ticket price.So,next year it still need funding to keep normal operation.

3.Even I think what the author said is convincing,but I still cannot agree with some city

commissioners,they argue that the symphony can now be fully self-supporting.With more donation and attendance and higher ticket price,it still cannot reflect the symphony's profits can cover all the expenses.Maybe the ordinary maintenance and employee's salary cannot totally be covered by the profits,the rest of the expenses can only be supported by government's funding.So,if without this funding,symphony cannot operation anymore.The idea that eliminating symphony's budget from next year is untenable.Unless the author can ruling out these possible situation can I think what the author recommended is convincing and the elimination action is practical.

Argument 62 121 122

1.A concentrated solution of UltraClean produced a 40 percent greater reduction in the bacteria population than did the liquid hand soaps currently used in our hospitals.But the author did not give the information that the reduced bacteria is harmful to patients,maybe they can help patients recovering and wound healing,or some bacteria are just the doctors wanted to improve medical curative effect.For there are some kinds of bacteria doing benefit to health,I can hardly believe what the author recommended without ruling out the possibly cases.

2.Another example the author demonstrated his view's correction is that during a subsequent test of UltraClean at his hospital in Workby,fewer cases of patient infection than did any of the other hospital in his group.But it has high possibility that the real reason casing fewer infection is not through using UC,the test was taken in the hospital with the latest medical facilities and several authoritative specialists and excellent nursing.All these things guarantee patients' with less infection possibly.If the author cannot ruling out these situations,I would think what he said is totally unconvincing.

3.Even I convince what the author said is reasonable and valid,but he cannot hasty put forward his advice about supplying UC at all hand-washing station throughout our hospital system.Without investigation and analysis,if rashly taking this action may bring some unexpected consequences.Every hospital has its own particular situation,some are specially curing ailment,such as fever or stomachache,it is wast to use UC.Thus it is not judiciously to take the author's suggestion without considering details.

Argument 63

1.The editor recommended that form a recent study,youth-league soccer players in several major cities reported psychological pressure exerted by coaches and parents to win game.But this survey only reflect the situation in soccer players.Maybe other sports player suffer less injuries and they are without pressure from coaches and parents.This examplar is not representative,it cannot reflect the truth.With less proofs to demonstrate throughout the country and in other kinds of sports all share the same situation.

2.The editor also cited education experts' word that long practice sessions for sports take away time that could be used for academic activities.It may sound reasonable at the first glance,but with further analyzing many logical errors will be found.Firstly,the experts assumed young players besides playing sports they would be learning.In fact,they might have many other activities,such as traveling,shopping or even sleeping.Without ruling out these possibly situations,the editor cannot say that the experts words is reliable.

3.Even the whole country have a high rate of suffering injuries when playing sports,but it cannot

say the same circumstances would happen in P.Maybe in P,there are particular system focusing the protection of young.When they participate in sports,they are usually under supervising of coaches and parents guarantee they are free from injuries.With these series of actions to prevent children hurting during exercising,the rate of suffering injuries is much lower than the national level.

Argument 64

1.Since archaeologists have recently discovered mold of human heads and hands on Kail,the author cannot prove that these molds were used to create statues.Maybe they have some other usages,such as sacrifice supplies,weapons or preventing grain from being destroyed by animals.If the author cannot provided reasonable interpretations I can hardly believe what he said is valid. Even I convinced that molds of heads and hands were used to create status,but the author cannot ruling out the possibilities of sculpting also sharing the same usage.No proofs are given by the author to support his conjecture.

2.It cannot explains why K miniature statues were abstract and entirely different in style.Maybe people during that time preferred creating miniature with that particular style.It had some religion means and it was parts of their culture.Without other proofs to further bolstering this view I cannot think it is tenable.Even there are few sculpting tools have been found,but it does not reflect that existing few tools,maybe in a place ,numerous kinds of tools were buried(bury) that still undiscovered by archaeologists.

3.Other logical error is how can collector predict that the life-size sculptures will decrease in value while the miniatures increase in value.One subject's value is depending on its aesthetic ,archaeological and collect comprehensive value,while the author did not compare these characters,thus the conclusion made by he is unreliable.Even I convinced that the value of life-size sculpture will decrease,but the value of miniature is not bound to increase.There are not existing opposite relationship between them I can get from the recent information the author gave.So,We have many reasons to believe some opposite situations may happen,if the author did not give more information to support his view.

Argument 65

The editor recommended that the S park's drop in popularity,this conclusion is made through video camera counting the decrease number of cars in the park's parking.Then the editor compared the situation between Spark and C park,he thought the reason for the drop in popularity is S park with fewer benches,if S park can provide more benches and convert some of the unused open areas into spaces suitable for socializing would benefit S park's popularity.it may seem reasonable at the first glance,but with further analyzing I find several logical errors,if the editor cannot give more valid and detail information to rule out the possible situations,I can hardly believe what he said reflects the truth and the solution he recommended is useful.

1.Firstly,video cameras mounted in the park's parking recorded an average of only 50 cars per day.Visitors have many ways to come to the park,not all the people will drive to the park.Some visitors live near the park,so they usually choose walking,some other visitors may take taxi.Thus the cars number cannot reflect any valuable information about the S park's popularity.Without ruling out these possibly situation I cannot believe what the editor said is reasonable.

2.Secondly,the editor compare the S park with the tiny C park,then put forward a solution to increase the number of visitors in S park through analyzing the obvious difference between

them.But the editor did not give enough information to reveal that more benches contributing to the C park's popularity.Maybe the region of C park with dense population,with more people living here so receive more visitors.Or the reason for C park's popularity is not benches,maybe the environment is C park is more comfortable,or the convenient traffic.The editor did not give any information to demonstrate the number of benches is the only matter leading its popularity.So,I do not think the reason for C park's popularity given by the editor is right.

3.Even I convincing that the benches contribute to C park's popularity,but I do not think S park can use the same method to increase its visitors.There are many difference between these two parks,different situations decide one method suitable for one park,may not fit the other one.Maybe providing more benches in S park waste large space that should have installed facilities for visitors,this action may lead many complains from the visitors instead.And wether the action to convert some of the unused open areas into spaces suitable for socializing will bring the expect result,it has much likely that this action may destroy the environment of the park.Thus,if the editor cannot demonstrate the action to provide more benches in S park and convert unused areas may not cause opposite result,I can hardly bolster his view.

Argument 66 107 108

1.The author only indicated that the selling performance of the newest store.What's more,the five best-selling chesses all belong to cheddar chesses from Wisconsin which is also one of the newest store,he did not give information about other old store's situation.Maybe the best-selling among these old store is imported cheeses,domestic cheeses' selling is far behind the selling of imported ones.Only provided these limited information the author cannot make reliable conclusion and it cannot help readers to make disinterested judgment

2.A recent survey by Cheeses of the world magazine indicates an increasing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers.Even I convinced the result of the survey is tenable,but it cannot reflect the practical cheeses' selling situation.Wether subscribers' preference means they would actually buy more domestic cheeses?If their preference is opposite to the customers' appetite,they would still subscribe more imported cheeses instead of their preference one.So,the author has to give more detail information to support his view.without ruling out possibly circumstances,I can hardly believe what the author recommended is reasonable and convincing.

3.The author suggested the best way to improve profits is to discontinue stocking many varieties imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses.Even I assume the foregoing information and the suggestion are all correct,but it is too superficial to improve profits through this way.Assuming the selling of domestic cheeses is actually better than the imported cheeses,but I do not know wether producing imported cheeses would bring no profits at all and even with the highest selling performance the domestic cheeses are truly bringing great income to the company.Only depending on these limited information,the author cannot give us a valid suggestion.To judge one company's profits situation,the author need to provide the total expense on original materials,facilities' maintenance,hiring employees and the cost on company's normal operation.If the selling income can cover all these expenses and exist surplus,I can obtain enough information to make correct judgment about this company's profits situation.

Argument 67

1.The author recommended that if the R Movie Theater do not want to close its door forever,it

needs to follow the example of the new Apex Theater in the mall outside of town.But the author did not give reasonable proof to prove that the R movie theater has the same situation as the new Apex theater.It undermine his argument if the author cannot provide further support.There are many difference between these two theater,including location,scales,operation ways,and so forth.So,obviously it should be taking particular changes according to different theaters.It has high possibility that a scheme is suitable for one theater,but unfit to another theater's situation.In order to demonstrate his argument,the author has to give more information to eliminate these possibly situations.

2.Another logical error is wether the Apex theater's success is contributing to a video arcade,carpeting and seats,and a state-of-the-art sound system.Even I convince these actions to benefit the theater,but the author cannot conclude they are the main reasons for Apex theater's success.What's more the author cannot rule out the possibility that in fact they may bring opposite influence to the Apex theater.For the author did not provide enough information,I can hardly believe his view.His argument cannot bear further scrutiny.If the author cannot justify his words,it is difficult to persuade other people.

3.Thirdly,the author recommended a recent survey,it reflected over 85 percent of respondents reported that the high price of newly released movies prevents them from going to the movies.Maybe the survey was taken among few people or it directed at special groups,such as students,retirees,they usually do not have much surplus money to go to movies.Thus I cannot sure the survey's result is representative,wether it reflects the truth.All these possibly situations will undermine the argument's credibility. I will agree with the author if he can give valid reasons to rule out these possibilities.

4.改革的成本是否能由收入支付。

Argument 68

1.I assume that the recent study and the statement about dog owner tend to have a lower incidence of heart disease are all credible.On the fundamental of these proofs,the author recommended that the adopt-a-dog programme will help patients recovering from heart disease.At first glance,it seems reasonable,but it cannot afford further scrutiny,some logical error are easily found.Whether the patients recovering from heart disease and the people received the study and the dog owner belong to the cogener.They may present different groups of people.So,it has high possibilities that the patients recovering from heart disease are not suit this programme.In order to have a more peaceful and comfortable recovering environment,it is better without keeping dogs for patients.And the parasites carried by dogs are also harmful to patients,it may have bad influences on them and increase the possibility of infection.All these opposite situations will undermine the author's argument,without ruling out these bad effects it is hasty to make conclusion,and I cannot believe the statement of the author is correct.

2.Another logical error is that reducing patients' chance of experiencing continuing heart problems and need for ongoing treatment do not have direct relationship to the main purpose of the programme.This programme is helping patients recovering from heart disease,but the author did not provide other information to support it will also reduce the chance of experiencing continuing heart disease and need for ongoing treatment.Without enough data to further back the author's view,I cannot convince what he said.If he wants to strength his recommendation these necessary information cannot be ignored.

3.Even I convince the foregoing information,but the author said the program would encourage more people to adopt pets from the shelter is unreasonable.He did not give information about other pets except dogs can also benefit the heart disease.Some pets do not suitable for feeding,they may lead some unexpected disease.Like,their hair is not good for respiratory tract,and parasites can cause many diseases.All these possible situations the author need to take into consideration,thus he can reinforce the credibility of his argument.

Argument 69 70 115

1.Firstly,the author recommended that the constructed by Zeta cost 30 percent more to build than Alpha.This statement is unreliable,because the author did not give any information about these two buildings' construction situation.Maybe the reason for a comparative longer time is Zeta's building with more complicated structure and more floor area.If the author cannot give enough information to rule out these possibly situations I can hardly believe what he said is correct and reasonable.

2.Secondly,the author mentioned Zeta's building's expenses for maintenance last year were only half those of Alpha's.It seems tenable at first glance,but with further scrutiny some logical error will be found,they will undermine the credibility of the author's words.The author did not provided the data to prove whether this phenomenon is not caused by Alpha's larger floor area or a large scale of working environment.These will all lead to more expenses for maintenance.As for the necessary data the author did not give,I cannot convince this argument.

3.Thirdly,the author refer to the energy consumption of the Zeta building has been lower than that of the Alpha building every year since its construction.It cannot justly reflect the true circumstances of these two buildings.Some significant message ignored by the author.Such as,the larger working environment and the difference in the construction of these two building.Losing these required information it is hasty to make an conclusion immediately.

4.Fourthly,the author thought a company with little employee turnover reflects its stable.This view is superficial and partial.A company's stability is refected in their company can finish the construction intime,they have the capacity to undertake a project and they obtain enough money and workers to provide normal operation.All these things can help us to make a judgment wether a company is stable.So,only depending on the limited information given by the author,I cannot get the justifiable conclusion.

Argument 71

1.The editor used a state traffic survey towards the typical driving commuter is indeed unreasonable.Wether the traffic problems can be reflected through the time people spend on the way to work?There are many other possible phenomena will also have great influencing on traffic leading to the traffic problems.Like the road condition,the road of the annually vehicles load capacity and the road maintenance.Only through the typical driving commuter cannot give strong proofs to prove that traffic in Waymarsh is becoming a problem.If the editor wants to enforce his words he need to give enough and reliable data,thus I can convince what he say.

2.Even I convinced that there is a problem in traffic here,but the editor is too hasty to say they can solve the matter through taking the same way that Garvile implemented.Without analyzing the

differences between these two cities,the editor cannot make such conclusion.The difference popularity,road condition and even political policies will all affect the consequence in the end.Giving people coupons for free gas also need cost a large amount of money,thus the government need to raise the tax.The editor did not rule out the possibilities that the residential neighborhood would not opposite this policy.He need to undertake particular action according to the W's own situation.Just depending on these superficial evidence,the editor fails to d emonstrate his argument's correction.

3.There is another logical error that the editor did not prove that the pollution levels in G have dropped and commuting times have fallen considerable all contributing to the newly published policy.Maybe some other new policies are published at the same time require the relative institutes to pay more attention on city environment and more trees have been planted.As for commuting time,it may be more people prefer taking mass transit rather than driving their cars.So the number of cars decreasing significant,and the traffic jam is less than before at the same time.These possible situations will undermine the credibility of the editor's argument.In order to persuade more people to bolster his words,these situations needed to be ruled out and more information about this policy's efficience also should be provided.