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《国际货币与金融经济学》课后习题答案

《国际货币与金融经济学》课后习题答案
《国际货币与金融经济学》课后习题答案

Chapter 1

https://www.wendangku.net/doc/ff70125.html,ing the following data (billions of dollars) for a given year, calculate the balance on merchandise trade; balance on goods, services, and income; and the current account balance. Indicate whether these balances are deficits or surpluses.

Exports of goods 719 Imports of goods 1,145

Exports of services 279 Imports of services 210

Net unilateral transfers -49 Income receipts 284

Income payments 269 Statistical discrepancy 11

The balance on merchandise trade is the difference between exports of goods, 719 and the imports of goods, 1,145, for a deficit of 426. The balance on goods, services and income is 719 + 279 +284 – 1145 - 210 – 269, for a deficit of 342. Adding unilateral transfers to this gives a current account deficit of 391, [-342 + (-49) = -391]. (Note that income receipts are credits and income payments are debits.)

2.Write out a positive and negative aspect of a nation being a net debtor. Do the same thing for a nation that is a net creditor.

Positive aspects of being a net debtor include the possibility of financing domestic investment that is not possible through domestic savings; thereby allowing for domestic capital stock growth which may allow job, productivity, and income growth. Negative aspects include the fact that foreign savings may be used to finance domestic consumption rather than domestic savings; which will compromise the growth suggested above.

Positive aspects of being a net creditor include the ownership of foreign assets which can represent an income flows to the crediting country. Further, the net creditor position also implies a net exporting position. A negative aspect of being a net creditor includes the fact that foreign investment may substitute for domestic investment.

3.Explain why a nation might desire to receive both portfolio investment and direct investment from abroad.

A nation may desire to receive both portfolio and direct investment due to the type of investment each represents. Portfolio investment is a financial investment while direct investment is dominated by the purchase of actual, real, productive assets. To the extent that a country can benefit by each type of investment, it will desire both types of investment. Further, portfolio investment tends to be short-run in nature, while FDI tends to be long-run in nature.

4.Write out a single equation showing the relationship between the current account and net capital inflows, including changes in official reserves and other government assets, as they relate to investment spending and domestic saving.

Domestic Savings - Domestic Investment = Current Account Balance

Domestic Savings - Domestic Investment = Net Capital Flows

Therefore, Current Account Balance = Net Capital Flows 5.Suppose a nation spends 10 percent of its income on investment and the private sector saves 5 percent. Further, suppose the national government runs a deficit of 1 percent. Explain what the above conditions mean for the nation’s capital ac count and current account. How might the imbalance be corrected?

Using the equations above, private savings of 5 percent of income, government savings of -1 percent, and investment expenditures of 10 percent would results in a current account deficit of 6 percent of income and a capital account surplus (net capital inflows) of 6 percent of income. This could be corrected with a reduction in the government deficit (to a surplus) and/or an increase in private savings.

Chapter 2

1.Suppose the U.S.-dollar-per-currency exchange rate of the euro was 1.2201 on Thursday and 1.2168 on Friday. Did the euro appreciate or depreciate relative to the U.S. dollar? How much was the appreciation/depreciation (in percentage change terms)?

The euro depreciated relative to the dollar. The rate of depreciation (in absolute value) was [(1.2168 – 1.2201)/1.2201]100 = 0.27 percent.

3.Suppose in New York the euro and British pound trade at the following exchange rates: 1.234$/€, and $/£=1.702. In London, the euro equivalent rate of the pound is 1.425€/£. Is there an arbitrage opportunity? Why or why not? Calculate the profit to be made on $1,000,000.

The cross rate is 1.702/1.234 = 1.379 (€/£). The arbitrageur would purchase £587,544 ($1,000,000/1.702) with the $1 million in the New York market. Next they would use the £587,544 in London to purch ase €837,250 (£587,544*1.425). Finally, they would sell the €837,250 in the NY market for $1,033,167 (€837,250*1.234). The pr ofit is #33,167.

Using this information, calculate the 2003 and 2004 effective exchange values for the U.S. dollar using 2003 as the base year. Do the values you calculated indicate an appreciation or depreciation of the U.S. dollar? What is the rate of appreciation or depreciation?

Total trade is (163,681 + 160,829 + 261,180 + 210, 590) = 796,280. Trade with the Euro area is (163,681 + 261,180) = 424,861. Trade with Canada is (160,829 + 210,590) = 371,419. The weight assigned to the euro is 424,861/796,280 = 0.53 and the weight assigned to the Canadian dollar is 0.47. (Recall the weights must sum to unity.) Because the base year is 2003, the 2003 EER is 100. The value of the 2004 EER is: [(0.82/0.88)?0.53 + (1.56/1.59)?0.47]?100 = (0.4939 + 0.4611)?100 = 95.4964, or 95.5. This represents a 4.5 percent depreciation of the U.S. dollar.

5.In January 2000, the spot exchange rate for the euro was 1.05$/€. In May 2004, the rate was 1.19$/€. In January 2000, the euro-area CPI was 107.5 and the U.S. CPI was 112.7. In May 2004, the euro-area CPI was 11

6.4 and the U.S. CPI was 122.2. Based on this information, in nominal terms did the euro appreciate or depreciate against the dollar? What was the rate of appreciation or depreciation? This is a nominal appreciation of the euro relative to the U.S. dollar. The percent change is [(1.19 –1.05)/1.05]?100 = 13.3 percent.

Chapter 3

1.List all of the various types of exchange-rate arrangements. Order the list of exchange-rate arrangements from fi xed to most flexible.

Ranking the various exchange rate arrangements by flexibility is not so clear cut. Nonetheless the arrangements described in this chapter are (from fixed to flexible): dollarization, currency board, commodity (standard) peg, dollar (standard) peg, currency basket peg, crawling peg, managed float, flexible.

2.Describe two primary functions of the International Monetary Fund.

The two primary functions of the International Monetary Fund are: surveillance of member nations' macroeconomic policies, and to provide liquidity to member nations experiencing payments imbalances.

3.Suppose the value of the U.S. dollar is pegged to gold at a rate of $50 per ounce. Next suppose that the value of the British pound is pegged to the U.S. dollar at a rate of $1.50 per pound, and the value of the Canadian dollar is pegged to the U.S. dollar at a rate of $1.38 Canadian dollars per U.S. dollars. Calculate the value of the Canadian dollar and the British pound relative to gold.

The value of the Canadian dollar relative to gold is CAN$69 (1.38 ? $50) and the value of the British pound relative to gold is £33.33 ($50/1.50).

https://www.wendangku.net/doc/ff70125.html,ing the information in Problem 3, calculate the exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the British pound.

The exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the British pound is C$/£2.07 (1.38 ? 1.50).5.Suppose Argentina decides to peg the value of its currency, the peso, to a basket consisting of 0.50 U.S. dollars and 0.50 euros. Further suppose the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro is 1.10$/€. If the basket constitutes one peso, what is the appropriate exchange value between the peso and the dollar, and between the peso and the euro?

The currency value of the peso can be expressed as $0.50 + €.50=P1. The exchange rate between the dollar and the euro can be used to convert the euro amount to its dollar equivalent of $0.55. Hence, $1.05=P1, or and exchange value of 0.952 P/$. Using the exchange rate between the dollar and the euro again, the exchange rate between the peso and the euro is 0.1.048 P/€ (0.952 P/$ ? 1.10 $/€).

6.Based on the information in Problem 5, what is the weight assigned to the U.S. dollar in the currency basket? What is the weigh assigned to the euro?

Because $1.05 is the currency content of the basket, as shown above, and $0.50 of that content is attributable to the dollar, the weight assigned to the dollar is 0.50/1.05 = 0.476, or 47.6 percent. Because the weights must sum to unity, the weight assigned to the euro is 52.4 percent.

7.What is the principle responsibility of a currency board? What three main restrictions on a currency board make it different from a typical central bank?

The principle responsibilities of a currency board are to issue domestic currency notes and peg the value of the domestic currency. A currency board is not allowed to purchase domestic debt, act as a lender of last resort, or set reserve requirements.

货币发行局的主要职责是发行国内货币票据及挂了国内货币的价值。货币发行局是不允许购买国内债券,作为最后贷款人的行为,或设置准备金要求。

8.What factors do you think should be considered when determining the rate of crawl for a crawling-peg exchange-rate system?

Differences in the fundamental determinants of currency values between the pegging country and the other country should be considered. To this point of the text, the rate of inflation is a good example. Relative PPP can be used to determine the rate of crawl.

9.What, in your opinion, is the chief difference between a currency- board system and dollarization?

Under a currency board system, a nation still maintains its domestic currency. Hence, policymakers can change exchange rate policies and monetary policies if they so desire. When a nation dollarizes and disposes of its domestic currency it no longer has this option.

Chapter 4

1.Suppose the following situation prevails in the foreign exchange and Eurocurrency mark ets for the euro(€) and the British pound (£).

One-year Eurocurrency rates: Euro 3.125% British pound 4.250% Exchange rates: Spot 1.5245€/£One-year forward 1.4575€/£Explain how an individual would profit from financial arbitrage in this situation. Calculate the percentage return the individual would earn from undertaking arbitrage activity. Keep all of your calculations to four decimal points for accuracy. Because (1.03125) > (1.04250)(1.4575/1.5245) = 0.9967, an arbitrage opportunity exists in this example if one were to borrow the pound and lend the euro. Suppose you were to borrow one pound, the steps are then:

a. Borrow £1, convert to €1.5245 on the spot market.

b. Lend euros, yielding €1.5245?(1.03125) = €1.5721.

c. See euros forward, yielding €1.5721/1.4575 = £1.0787.

d. Repay the pound loan at £1?(1.04250) = £1.04250.

e. The profit is £0.0362, or 3.62 percent.

2.Suppose the spot exchange rate between the dollar and the euro is 1.08$/€. The dollar can be borrowed for one year at 1.75 percent and the euro can be lent for one year 3.25 percent. What should be the forward premium or discount? What should be the one-year forward rate?

Given this information, we can calculate the forward premium/discount with the UIP condition: (F - S)/S = R - R*

The interest differential is 1.75% - 3.25% = 1.5%. This is the expected forward premium on the euro. Hence, (F – 1.08)/1.08 = 0.015 implies that F = 1.0962.

3.Suppose the short-term U.S. interest rate is 1.24 percent and the Canadian rate is 2.15 percent, while forecasted inflation is 2.1 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively. Calculate the real interest rate for each country. Does real interest parity hold?

The U.S. real rate is 1.24% – 2.1% = -0.86% and the Canadian real rate is 2.15% – 2.6% = -0.45%. Ignoring transaction costs, because the real interest rates are not equal, real interest parity does not hold.

4.Characterize each of the following financial instruments as either a global equity, global bond, Eurocurrency, Euronote, Eurobond, or Eurocommercial paper.

a. A Brazilian firm offers a ten-year debt instrument for sale to international savers.

b. The government of Mexico offers a three-year debt instrument, denominated in the U.S. dollar, for sale on the London market.

c. Citibank of New York borrows a pound-denominated deposit from Royal Bank of Canada.

d. A Brazilian firm offers shares of its stock for sale to international savers. International financial instruments:

a. Global Bond: long term instruments issued in the domestic currency.

b. Eurobond: term is longer than one year and is issued in a foreign currency.

c. Eurocurrency: keyword is that it is a deposit.

d. Global equity: keyword is that it is a shar

e.

Chapter 5 1. The formula for the price of a perpetual, nonmaturing bond with an annual coupon return of C is C/R. Note that the discounted present value of C dollars received each year forever is equal to the infinite sum,

PB=C/(1+R)+ C/(1+R)2+ C/(1+R)3 +C/(1+R)4+…

The amount PB should be the price that the bearer of the consol would be willing to pay to hold this instrument. And so PB

Should equal C/R. Prove that this is true. [Hint: Try multiplying the equation above by the factor 1/(1+R). Then subtract the resulting equation from the equation above. Then solve for PB.]

A:Given that: PB = C/(1+R) + C/(1+R)2 + C/(1+R)3 + C/(1+R)4 + ...;

multiply each side by (1+R): PB (1+R) = C + C/(1+R) + C/(1+R)2 +...;

and subtract PB from each side: PB (1+R) - PB = [C + C/(1+R) + C/(1+R)2 +...] - [C/(1+R) + C/(1+R)2 +...];

Simplifying: PB * R = C. Therefore, PB = C/R.

2. Suppose that traders currently anticipate that during the next year the dollar will depreciate by

3.5 percent relative to the euro. At present, the market interest rate on a U.S. Treasury security is 5 percent, and the market interest rate on a German government bond with the same risk characteristics and the same maturity is 3 percent. Is there an excess return available from holding the German government bond? If so, what is the amount of the excess return?

A:Yes, the excess return on the German government bond 3.5%–(5%–3 %) = 1.5% 3. In what ways does a currency futures contract differ from a forward currency contract?

A:In contrast to forward currency contracts, currency futures require delivery of standard quantities of currencies. In addition, holders of currency futures experience profits of losses on the contracts during the entire period before the contracts expire, whereas profits or losses occur only at the expiration date of a forward currency contract. 与此相反的远期外汇合约,外汇期货需要提供的标准品数量的货币。此外,持有的外汇期货合同到期之前的整个期间遇到的合同而遭受损失的利润,而利润或亏损只发生在远期外汇合约的到期日。

4. Why is a currency futures option a “derivative of a derivative”? Explain briefly. A:A currency future already is a derivative, because its value varies with the exchange rate. The value of a currency futures option, in turn, depends on the underlying value of a currency futures contract, so its value is derived from the futures derivative. In this way, a currency futures option is a "derivative of a derivative."

5. Using the following table, consider an American-style call option on the euro. The current euro spot exchange rate is $0.9657, and each option contract is for €62,500.

Calls Puts

Vol. Last Vol. Last

960 Jun … … 5 0.0161

980 Jun 14 0.0188 … …

1000 Jun 1 0.0117 … …

1020 Jun 1 0.0600 … 0.0100

a. Is the 980 call option currently in the money, at the money, or out of the money?

b.Suppose that your corporate economist believes the euro may appreciate against the dollar to an exchange value as high as $1.02 or depreciate to an exchange value as low as $0.96.She therefore purchases eight call contracts to partially hedge an underlying short exposure of $750,000. Draw a diagram illustrating the potential loss or gain on eight call contracts.

c.Indicate the amount of loss or profit at $0.96, $1.02, and the current spot rate. (Keep all calculations to two decimal places.)

d.Indicate the break-even rat

e.

e.Add to your diagram a line indicating the gain and loss on the underlying exposure as the spot deviates form the current level. Indicate the gain or loss at $0.96 and $1.02.

A:a. The call option is currently out of the money.

b. (0.0188)(62,500) = $1,175

($1,175)(8 contracts) = $9,400

c. At S = $0.96/ € the option is not exercised and the firm is out $9,400

At S = $1.02/ € the option is exercised. The firm earns $10,600

A t S = $0.9657/€, the firm does not exercise the option and is out $9,400

d. Break even: $0.9988/€

e. See Diagram given in part (b).

Chapter 6

1. Suppose that a Japanese bank has total assets of ¥1,000 million. Of these assets, 80 percent are loans to businesses, and the remainder are holdings of cash assets and government securities. The bank engages in derivatives trading that Japanese regulators assign a credit equivalence exposure value of ¥400 million. The bank’s equity capital amounts to ¥100 million, and the bank has no subordinated debt. Does this bank meet current capital requirements? A:he bank's capital-asset ratio is equal to it equity of 100 million yen divided by its total assets of 1,000 million yen, which equals 0.10, or 10 percent. Hence, the bank definitely meets the 4 percent capital-asset ratio requirement. Because cash assets and government securities receive a zero risk weight, this bank has 800 million yen in loans that it must count among risk-adjusted assets. Together with the assigned exposure of 400 million yen from derivatives trading, this yields a total amount of risk-adjusted assets equal to 1,200 million yen. Thus, the bank's risk-adjusted core capital ration is equal to 100 million yen divided by 1,200 million yen, which is equal to just over 0.083, or 8.3 percent. Thus, the bank's risk-adjusted core capital ratio also meets the 8 percent regulatory requirement.

他银行的资本资产比率至100亿日元除以它的总资产为1000万日元,相等于0.10,或10%的股权,是平等的。因此,银行肯定达到4%的资本资产比率要求。因为现金资产和政府债券收到一个零风险权重,这家银行的贷款,它必须计算风险调整后的资产中,有8亿日元。再加上400万日元衍生品交易指定的曝光,这会产生等于1200万日元的风险调整后的资产总额为。因此,银行的风险调整后的核心资本比为等于100亿日元除以1200万日元,这是刚刚超过0.083或8.3%。因此,银行的风险调整后的核心资本充足率也达到8%的监管要求。

2.In what ways do the current functions and objectives of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank overlap? In what ways do they have different functions and pursue different goals?

The main overlap in the institutions’ functions is that both make long-term loans intended to promote growth of developing and emerging nations. The World Bank, however, concentrates solely on this task, whereas the International Monetary Fund focuses much of its attention lending to promote short- and intermediate-term stabilization.

Chapter 7

1. Explain the difference between direct and indirect financing. Next explain why a nation might desire a strong and stable system of financial intermediaries and a robust bond market.

A:The difference between direct and indirect financing has to do with whether the borrower and lender seek each other out or whether an intermediary matches borrowers and lenders. Direct financing requires no intermediary to match savers and borrowers. An economy will benefit from having both direct and indirect financing because both are appropriate ways to save and invest under different circumstances. As discussed in the text, financial intermediaries absorb a fraction of each saver's dollar that is borrowed. Thus, the intermediary takes some of the funds that otherwise would have gone to a borrower. However, the financial intermediary provides an important service by reducing information asymmetries, allowing savers to pool risk, and matching risk and return.

Therefore, when an individual cannot research these issues on his/her own, the intermediary is necessary to help the financial markets operate. However, a strong bond market, in which borrowers and savers can directly interact, allows for informed parties to save the funds that otherwise would go to an intermediary. This, in turn, uses the savings more efficiently.

直接融资和间接融资之间的差异做的借方和贷方是否寻求相互的,还是中介比赛借款人和贷款人。直接融资需要,以配合储蓄者和借款人的中介。因为两者都是适当的储蓄和投资的方式在不同的情况下,一个经济体将受益于具有直接融资和间接融资的。文中所讨论的,金融中介机构吸收一小部分,每个保护的美元是借来的。因此,的中介需要一些,否则会已经向借款人的资金。然而,金融中介机构提供的一项重要服务,减少信息不对称,让储户池风险,匹配风险和回报。

因此,当一个人无法考证这些问题对他/她自己的,中介机构是必要的,有助于金融市场的运作。然而,一个强大的债券市场,在借款人与投资者直接互动,让知情人士节省的资金,否则将去中介。,反过来,这更有效地使用的储蓄。

2.List three benefits of portfolio capital and three benefits of foreign direct investment. Give one negative aspect of each. Explain why it is undesirable to rely on portfolio capital only. Explain why it is undesirable to rely on FDI only. Portfolio flows are relatively short term in nature (have a shorter term to maturity), involve lower borrowing costs, and can generate near-term income. They also do not require a firm to give up control to a foreign investor. Consequently, they may help to improve capital allocation within an economy and help the economy's financial sector develop. These are all potential benefits of portfolio investments. By the same token, however, they are also relatively easy to reverse in direction, which is a potential disadvantage of portfolio investment.

On the other hand, foreign direct investment (FDI) involve some degree of ownership and control of a foreign firm, are typically long term in nature, and help provide a stabilizing influence on a nation's economy. As such, FDI is typically more difficult to arrange.

It is not advantageous to rely on either type of investment exclusively, in so far as each type accomplishes different goals for an economy. Both near-and long-term capital are important for an economy's growth.

证券投资的流动是相对短期性质(有一个较短的到期日),包括更低的借贷成本,并能产生短期的收入。他们也并不需要放弃控制权的公司向外国投资者。因此,它们可能有助于提高资金分配一个经济体系内,并帮助经济体的金融部门发展。这些都是潜在的好处的投资组合。同样的道理,然而,他们也比较容易扭转的方向,这是一个潜在的缺点证券投资。

另一方面,外国直接投资(FDI)涉及一定程度的所有权和控制权的外国公司,是典型的长期性质,并提供对一个国家的经济稳定的影响。因此,外国直接投资通常是更难安排。

这是不利于依靠专用两种类型的投资,至今各类型实现不同的目标的经济。两个近期和长期的资本是非常重要的一个经济体的增长。

3. Suppose you are a policymaker in an emerging economy. Explain what types of capital flow you would try to encourage. What policy actions might you take to encourage these types of flows?

A:Policymakers should undertake actions that attract both portfolio capital flows and FDI flows. Actions that improve transparency in both the private a public sector reduces information asymmetries and their associate problems thereby making portfolio flows more stable, in other words, reducing the risk of massive capital outflows. Policymakers may also undertake actions that promote education, improve the tax structure and tax collection, and improve the countries infrastructure. These actions may, in turn, attract FDI.

政策制定者应该采取行动,吸引投资资本流动和外国直接投资。提高透明度的动作,在私营的公共部门减少信息不对称及其联营问题,从而使投资组合流动更加稳定,换句话说,减少大规模资本外流的风险。政策制定者也可以采取行动,促进教育,提高税收结构和税收征管,改善国家的基础设施。反过来,这些行动可能会吸引外国直接投资。

4. Some observers have responded to harsh criticisms of World Bank policies by arguing that the World B ank’s members have saddled it with conflicting goals. Do you agree that the World Bank confronts conflicting objectives? If not, why not? If so, which of the allegedly conflicting goals do you think should take precedence? A:The World Bank was initially established to help countries rebuild after WWII and in the 1960s expanded to also make long term loans to developing nations in order to help reduce poverty and improve living standards. Recently, some of the World Bank's activities have begun to overlap the IMF's activities to finance long-term structural adjustments and provide refinancing for some heavily indebted countries. Critics may argue that the tasks that are duplicated by the IMF and the World Bank create conflicting goals for the World Bank. Thus, the two organizations may each benefit by focusing on different aims. For instance, the IMF may return to financing shorter-term objectives and leave the World Bank to worry about longer-term projects.

Another conflicting line of reasoning involves donors' expectation that the World Bank maintain a revenue stream form its projects. This can be argues as unrealistic, however, in that the poorest countries are less likely to yield a payoff for the needed projects; and these are precisely the countries that the World Bank is designed and intended to help. On the other hand, the less risky projects, which could provide a positive revenue stream are likely to attract private capital.

世界银行最初建立是为了帮助国家重建二战之后,在20世纪60年代扩大,也使发展中国家的长期贷款,以帮助减少贫困和改善人民生活水平。最近,世界银行的一些活动已经开始重叠IMF的活动,以资助长期的结构调整,并提供一些负债累累的国家的再融资。批评人士可能会认为,重复的任务由IMF和世界银行世界银行建立相互矛盾的目标。因此,这两个组织可以分别针对不同的目标。例如,IMF融资的短期目标,离开世界银行担心长期的项目。

另一种冲突的推理,世界银行维持收入流形成的项目包括捐助者的期望。这可以被认为是不切实际的,但是,最贫穷的国家是不太可能产生所需要的项目的回报;而这些恰恰是国家,世界银行的设计,旨在帮助。另一方面,风险较低的项目,它可以提供一个积极的收入流可能会吸引私人资本。

5. Construct a table with three columns that lists each of the views on the causes of international financial crises in the left-hand column. In the second column of the table, list at least one possible financial crisis indicator corresponding to each view that might be tracked in an IMF early warning system for predicting financial crises. In the third column, propose how to evaluate whether each potential indicator you have proposed actually helps predict a crisis. Does this exercise help explain why economists have a hard time constructing reliable early warning systems?

A:The first cause of a crisis could be an imbalance in the economy. In other words, an incongruity in economic fundamentals could cause a crisis. Possible indicators include theoretical divergences between various economic variables such as the exchange rate and interest rates, income, and money supply. In terms of evaluation, if fundamental economic variables seem to be out of line, there may be an impending crisis.

A second cause is that of self-fulfilling expectations and contagion effects. In this case, mere expectations of a potential inability to maintain a specified exchange rate or a slight incongruity between economic conditions and the market exchange rate may cause a cascade of speculation that leads to a crisis. Since this is based on perception, it is difficult to find an indicator. One possible indicator would be trading volumes of currency for countries that may be at risk from the viewpoint of economic fundamentals. If trading volumes grew quickly, a crisis may be on the horizon.

Finally, the structural moral hazard problem may indicate a crisis. In this case, a credit rating bureau, such as Moody's may provide the data needed to indicate a potential crisis. The quality of the credit rating would be relatively easily interpreted to indicate a potential crisis.

经济危机的第一个原因可能是不平衡的。换句话说,在经济基本面的不协调可能导致危机。可能的指标包括各种经济变量,如汇率,利率,收入和货币供应量之间的理论分歧。在评价方面,如果基本经济变量似乎是脱节的,有可能是即将发生的危机。

第二个原因是,自我实现的期望和传染效应。在这种情况下,仅仅是一个潜在的无法维持指定的经济条件和市场汇率之间的汇率或轻微的不协调的期望可能会导致级联的猜测,导致危机。由于这是基于对知觉的,它是很难找到一个指标。一个可能的指标将交易量的货币,从经济基本面的角度来看,可能是在风险的国家。如果交易量迅速增长,危机可能会在地平线上。

最后,结构性的道德风险问题,可能表明了危机。在这种情况下,如穆迪的信用评级局,可以提供所需要的数据来表示一个潜在的危机。的信用评级的质量会相对容易地解释为表示一个潜在的危机。

Chapter 8

1. Slovakia is an international supplier of hockey pucks. Suppose that Slovakia prices and sells its hockey pucks on the international market in the U.S. dollar. What happens to Slovakia’s exports when the currency of a major consumer of hockey pucks, Canada, depreciates 5 percent against the U.S. dollar? Suppose Slovakia hockey puck producers desire to maintain the market share they have in Canada. Thus, they are willing to adjust their price for hockey pucks so that the quantity of hockey pucks demanded remains constant. How much would Slovakia have to reduce the price of hockey pucks to maintain its current level of exports to Canada?

A:If the Canadian dollar depreciates relative to the U.S. dollar, then the quantity of hockey pucks demanded declines. Hence, Slovakian manufacturers would have to absorb all of the exchange rate change in their profit margins and the price of hockey pucks would have to decline by 5 percent for the quantity demanded to remain unchanged.

2. Suppose that real consumption expenditures in a nation are $10,000, real investment expenditures are $8,000, real government expenditures are $5,000, real expenditures on imports are $1,000, and real exports are $500. (a) What are the nation’s levels of real income and absorption? (b) What is its trade balance?

A:a. real income, y= c + i + g + x = $23,500, absorption,y= c + i + g + im = $24,000.

b. Net exports, x - im, equals -$500. Therefore, there is a trade deficit of $500.

3. Explain how a “Buy American” advertising campaign is similar to an expenditure switching policy. What is the potential impact the campaign might have on the balance of payments in the context of the absorption approach?

A:The advertising campaign would induce consumers to increase expenditures on domestic output and decrease expenditures on foreign output. Domestic absorption will rise and, if expenditures on imports decrease, the trade balance improves.

4. Suppose the U.S economy expands at a faster pace than that of its trading partners. Using the absorption approach, explain why the U.S. dollar might depreciate relative to the currencies of its trading partners. Explain why the U.S. dollar might appreciate relative to the currencies of its trading partners.

A:As the U.S. economy expands, we would expect real income and real absorption to increase. On the one hand, if real income increases more than real absorption, net exports will rise. This would lead to an appreciation of the U.S. dollar. If, on the

other hand, real absorption rises faster than real income, net exports fall. This would lead to a depreciation of the U.S. dollar.

Chapter 9

1. Write out an equation representing the monetary approach to balance of payments and exchange rate determination. Suppose that domestic credit equals $1000 million, foreign exchange reserves equal $80 million, the money multiplier is 2, the fraction of nominal income that individuals desire to hold in money balances is 20 percent, the foreign price level 1.2, and the spot exchange value of the domestic currency is

2. Using its information, what is:

a. the money stock In the domestic economy?

b. the level of real income of the domestic economy?

Using the formula provided on page 222, m(DC + FER) = kSP*y.

a. The money stock is 2($1,000 + $80) = $2,160 million.

b. The level of real income is: [2($1,000 + $80)]/[(0.20)(1.2)(2)] = $4,500 million.

2. Write out the equation representing the monetary approach to balance of payments and exchange rate determination. Suppose the domestic monetary authorities increase domestic credit by $10 million through an open-market purchase of securities.

a. Under a fixed exchange-rate regime, what is the effect of this open-market transaction on the nation’s balance of payments?

b. Under flexible exchange rates, all other things constant, what is the new exchange value of the domestic currency? Is this an appreciation or depreciation? An open market purchase of securities in the amount of $10 million:

a.A fixed exchange rate regime requires a decrease in foreign reserves in an equal amount. Hence, this action results in a balance of payments deficit in the amount of $10 million.

b.A flexible exchange rate regime results in a new spot exchange rate of 2.019, which is a depreciation of the domestic currency. This problem is solved by using the value for real income derived in 5 b above: [(2($1,010 + 80)]/[(0.20)(1.2)($4,500)] = 2.019.

3. Write out the wealth identity. Using this identity, explain the impact of a central bank open-market sale of bonds on the exchange value of the domestic currency. Now suppose that the exchange rate is pegged. Using the wealth identity, explain the impact of the open-market operation on the domestic nation’s balance of payments. The wealth identity is given on page 229 as W≡ M + B+ SB*. An open market sale of securities would reduce bank reserves, increasing the domestic interest rate. Individuals would shift from foreign bonds to domestic bonds, leading to an appreciation of the domestic currency. Under a fixed exchange rate, the open market sale would result in an improvement of the domestic nation’s balance of payments.一个开放的市场销售的证券将降低银行存款准备金,提高国内利率。个人转变,从外国债券国内债券,从而导致本国货币的升值。在固定汇率,公开市场出售可能导致在国内国家的国际收支的改善。

4. Write out a wealth identity for both the domestic economy and the foreign economy. Using this identity, explain the impact of an open-market sale of bonds by the central bank of the foreign economy on the exchange value between the domestic and foreign currencies. The wealth identity is given on page 315 as W≡M + B SB*. From the foreign nation it is W ≡M* + B* + (1/S)B. An open market sale of securities by the foreign central bank would reduce foreign bank reserves, increasing the foreign interest rate relative to the domestic interest rate. Individuals would shift from domestic bonds to foreign bonds, leading to an depreciation of the domestic currency.

外国央行公开市场出售证券将减少对外国银行准备金,增加了外国利率相对于国内利率。个人转变,从国内债券,外国债券,导致国内货币贬值。

Chapter 14

1. The central bank in a small open economy with perfect capital mobility and a floating exchange rate reduces the nation’s money stock. Explain how the exchange rate must adjust in the long run when relative purchasing power is assumed to hold. A:A reduction in the money stock causes the aggregate demand schedule to shift leftward along the long-run aggregate supply curve, and the price level decreases in the long run. According to relative purchasing power, which is assumed to hold in the long run, the ultimate effect is a decrease in the exchange rate, or a domestic currency appreciation.

货币存量的减少导致总需求计划转向长期总供给曲线向左沿,从长远来看,价格水平下降。根据相对购买力,这是假设持有从长远来看,最终的效果是减少了汇率,国内货币升值。

2. A nation’s economy becomes more open, and as or consequence, aggregate real output becomes less responsive to short-run reasoning provided in the price level. Discuss factors that might help explain why this has occurred.

A:In a nation with perfectly competitive product markets, this might occur because workers respond to increased openness by incorporating more indexation of wages into their contractual agreements with employers or because greater openness by countries that import a relatively large amount of inputs makes product prices adjust more rapidly to changes in input prices.

在一个国家完全竞争的产品市场,这可能会发生,因为工人到他们与雇主的合同协议,或者因为更加开放的国家进口数额较大的投入,使产品的价格调整更迅速地将更多的工资指数化的应对更加开放投入价格的变化。

3. Discuss two possible reasons why greater openness of a nation’s economy might be associated with lower inflation.

A: If increased openness reduces the pricing power available to firms in a country with imperfectly competitive product markets, their inability to raise their prices as much as before when the quantity of output demanded increases might reduce inflation. Alternatively, if greater openness results in a steeper aggregate supply schedule in a nation with perfectly competitive product markets, then there is less incentive for the central bank in that nation to try to generate short-term increases in output via inflationary monetary policies, which reduces inflation.

如果增加的开放性降低了定价能力,公司在不完全竞争的产品市场,提高他们的价格他们无法象以前一样的国家的数量输出要求的增加可能会降低通胀。另外,如果在一个陡峭的总供给曲线在一个国家完全竞争的产品市场更加开放的结果,然后有激励该国央行在试图通过通货膨胀的货币政策,从而降低产生短期的产量增加了通货膨胀。

Chapter 15

1. A domestic government enacts a significant cut in taxes intended to spur its domestic industries. In addition, however, the tax cut gives foreign-owned firms an incentive to relocate their offices and production facilities within domestic borders. The tax cut also has been carefully crafted to avoid spurring increased imports by domestic citizens. Would these effects of this domestic policy action be an example of a positive or negative international policy externality? Explain.

A:This is an example of a negative policy externality because the domestic tax cut tends to stimulate domestic real-income growth at the expense of lower real-income growth in the other country. As a result, the domestic tax cut has a beggar-thy-neighbor effect on the other nation.

2. Workers who speak a common language and share a common culture are completely mobile within a region that encompasses three small economies that engage in large volumes of international trade and have floating exchange rates. Residents in each country must incur sizable costs each time they convert their home currency into a foreign currency, and they face significant foreign exchange risks. Is this region a potential candidate for monetary union? Justify your answer. A:According to the optimal-currency-area theory, these three economies are good candidates for a single currency. If events were to affect the sub-regions differently, causing payment imbalances among the sub-regions, then the residents, who share a common culture and language and are highly mobile, could adjust by moving as desired among the regions. Hence, exchange-rate adjustments are not necessary to cushion the sub-regions in the face of such imbalances. Adopting a single currency would permit them to avoid the sizable currency-conversion costs that they currently face.

这三个经济体的最优货币区理论,单一货币的很好的候选人。如果事件以不同的方式影响次区域,次区域之间的不平衡导致支付,那么居民,他们都有一个共同的文化和语言,流动性大,各地区之间移动所需的调整。因此,汇率调整是没有必要的,以减轻次区域在面对这种不平衡现象。采用单一货币将允许它们避免了相当大的货币,他们目前面临的转换成本。

3. Suppose that a country’s re sidents speak a language that most others around the world do not know. There also are legal and natural impediments to movements of factors of production across the nation’s borders. The nation’s central bank maintains a fixed exchange rate. Recently, there has been a worldwide fall in the demand for the nation’s primary products. Could this nation gain from letting its exchange rate float? Explain your reasoning.

A:The language barrier combines with the other legal and natural barriers for factor movement and serves as an impediment to labor mobility. In this case, the country could benefit from adopting a flexible exchange rate. If a flexible exchange rate were in effect, the increased trade deficit would lead to a natural depreciation of the nation's currency. This would help to stabilize aggregate demand (i.e., reduce its fall) by making imports more expensive and exports less expensive. Maintaining a fixed exchange rate eliminates this stabilizing channel.

语言障碍,与其他法人和自然人的障碍因素运动相结合,并作为劳动力流动的障碍。在这种情况下,国家可以采取灵活的汇率中受益。如果一个灵活的汇率影响,增加的贸易赤字将导致该国货币的自然贬值。通过使进口更加昂贵,出口更便宜,这将有助于稳定总需求(即降低其秋季)。维持固定汇率,消除了这种稳定的通道。4. Discuss the potential advantages of coordinating national monetary policies. Of these, which do you think is most important? Why?

A:Potential benefits of national coordination of monetary policies include the internalization of policy externalities, the optimization of the outcome of the limited set of policy instruments, the benefit of external commitments when faced with internal pressures to follow short-term goals at the expense of long term stability. Answers will vary as to which one is considered the most important.

5. Discuss the likely disadvantages of international monetary-policy coordination. Which do you believe to be the greatest disadvantage? Take a stand, and justify your position.

A:Potential disadvantages of monetary policy coordination include the sovereignty an individual country sacrifices, the potential of one country to "cheat" on another by deviating from the agreed upon coordination strategy, the potential of poor policy making by a member country, and the added potential of inflation bias when credibility levels are low within individual nations. Answers will vary regarding which is the greatest sacrifice.

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药理学——考试题库及答案

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2.2 求M/M/m (n )中,等待时间w 的概率密度函数。 解: M/M/m (n )的概率分布为: 1 1010011!)(!)(--=--?? ????--+=∑m r m n m k m m p k m p ρρρρ ??? ? ???>≤≤-≤≤=n k n k m p k m m k p k m p k m k k 0!10!)(00ρρ 假定n>m ,n ≥0,现在来计算概率P{w>x},既等待时间大于x 的概率。 ∑=>?=>n j j j x w P p x w P 0 }{}{ 其中,P j {w>x}的概率为: n j m x w P n j m i x m e x w P m j x w P j m j i i x m j j ≤≤=>-≤≤? = >-≤≤=>∑-=-1 }{1! )(}{1 00 }{0 μμ 可得: x m m n n i m m n i i x m m n m j n m j i i x m j m n n m j m j i i x m j e m m P x w P 则 若n P i x m e P m m i x m e P m m P i x m e P x w P )(010 010010 ! )(1}{1!)(!!)(!! )(}{λμμμμρρρρρμρμρμ--+--=--=-=--=-=-?-=>∞→+--?=??????+??=+??=>∑∑∑∑∑ 特别的,新到顾客需等待的概率为: ! )(1}0{0m m P W P m ρρ? -=>

] )! 1() ()!1()(!)()([)1(!)(而 1 2 10--------=----=---∑m n m m m n x m i x m e m P m x f m n n m n i m n m i m x m m w μλμρλμρλλμρρμ n m k k x m m m w P w P P w P 注: e m m P m x f 在n =∞===--=∞→∑-=--}{}0{)() 1(!)(10 )(0 λμλμρρ 2.4求M/D/1排队问题中等待时间W 的一、二、三阶矩m 1、m 2、m 3,D 表示服务时间为定值b ,到达率为λ。 解: ) () 1()(S B s s s G λλρ+--= 其中 sb st e dt e b t s B -∞ -=-= ? )()(δ 从而 sb e s s s G -+--=λλρ)1()( 又 ∑∞ ==0 )(i i i s g s G )1(!)(00ρλλ-=??? ? ??-?+-??? ??∴∑∑∞ =∞=s j sb s s g j j i i i b g λρ--=110 221)1(2)1(b b g λρλ---= 3 4232) 1(12)2)(1(b b b g λλλρ-+-= 3 4 332 3 222 114 43)1(4)21(6)0()1(6)2(2)0()1(2)0() () 1(24)1)(21(ρλρρλρρλρλλλρλ-+= ?='''-=-+= ?=''=-= -='-==--+-=b g G m b g G m b g G m b b b b g 2.5 求M/B/1,B/M/1和B/B/1排队问题的平均等待时间W ,其中B 是二阶指数分布: 100 ,)1()(212121<<>-+=--αλλλααλλλt t e e t f

大学物理学(第三版)课后习题参考答案

习题1 1.1选择题 (1) 一运动质点在某瞬时位于矢径),(y x r 的端点处,其速度大小为 (A)dt dr (B)dt r d (C)dt r d | | (D) 22)()(dt dy dt dx [答案:D] (2) 一质点作直线运动,某时刻的瞬时速度s m v /2 ,瞬时加速度2 /2s m a ,则一秒钟后质点的速度 (A)等于零 (B)等于-2m/s (C)等于2m/s (D)不能确定。 [答案:D] (3) 一质点沿半径为R 的圆周作匀速率运动,每t 秒转一圈,在2t 时间间隔中,其平均速度大小和平均速率大小分别为 (A) t R t R 2, 2 (B) t R 2,0 (C) 0,0 (D) 0,2t R [答案:B] 1.2填空题 (1) 一质点,以1 s m 的匀速率作半径为5m 的圆周运动,则该质点在5s 内,位移的大小 是 ;经过的路程是 。 [答案: 10m ; 5πm] (2) 一质点沿x 方向运动,其加速度随时间的变化关系为a=3+2t (SI),如果初始时刻质点的速度v 0为5m·s -1,则当t 为3s 时,质点的速度v= 。 [答案: 23m·s -1 ] (3) 轮船在水上以相对于水的速度1V 航行,水流速度为2V ,一人相对于甲板以速度3V 行走。如人相对于岸静止,则1V 、2V 和3V 的关系是 。 [答案: 0321 V V V ]

1.3 一个物体能否被看作质点,你认为主要由以下三个因素中哪个因素决定: (1) 物体的大小和形状; (2) 物体的内部结构; (3) 所研究问题的性质。 解:只有当物体的尺寸远小于其运动范围时才可忽略其大小的影响,因此主要由所研究问题的性质决定。 1.4 下面几个质点运动学方程,哪个是匀变速直线运动? (1)x=4t-3;(2)x=-4t 3+3t 2+6;(3)x=-2t 2+8t+4;(4)x=2/t 2-4/t 。 给出这个匀变速直线运动在t=3s 时的速度和加速度,并说明该时刻运动是加速的还是减速的。(x 单位为m ,t 单位为s ) 解:匀变速直线运动即加速度为不等于零的常数时的运动。加速度又是位移对时间的两阶导数。于是可得(3)为匀变速直线运动。 其速度和加速度表达式分别为 2 2484 dx v t dt d x a dt t=3s 时的速度和加速度分别为v =20m/s ,a =4m/s 2。因加速度为正所以是加速的。 1.5 在以下几种运动中,质点的切向加速度、法向加速度以及加速度哪些为零哪些不为零? (1) 匀速直线运动;(2) 匀速曲线运动;(3) 变速直线运动;(4) 变速曲线运动。 解:(1) 质点作匀速直线运动时,其切向加速度、法向加速度及加速度均为零; (2) 质点作匀速曲线运动时,其切向加速度为零,法向加速度和加速度均不为零; (3) 质点作变速直线运动时,其法向加速度为零,切向加速度和加速度均不为零; (4) 质点作变速曲线运动时,其切向加速度、法向加速度及加速度均不为零。 1.6 |r |与r 有无不同?t d d r 和d d r t 有无不同? t d d v 和t d d v 有无不同?其不同在哪里?试举例说明. 解:(1)r 是位移的模, r 是位矢的模的增量,即r 12r r ,12r r r ; (2) t d d r 是速度的模,即t d d r v t s d d . t r d d 只是速度在径向上的分量. ∵有r r ?r (式中r ?叫做单位矢),则 t ?r ?t r t d d d d d d r r r 式中 t r d d 就是速度在径向上的分量,

网络配置课后题答案

第一章 1当诊断网络的连接问题时,在PC的DOS命令提示符下使用ping命令,但是输出显示“request times out,”这个问题属于OSI参考模型的哪一层?(C) A.物理层 B. 数据链路层 C. 网络层 D. 传输层 E. 会话层 F. 表示层 G应用层 2当从interest 上的FIP站点上下载一个文件的时候,在 FTP操作的过程中,所关联的OSI 参考模型的最高层是哪层?(E) A.物理层 B. 数据链路层 C. 网络层 D. 传输层 E. 会话层 F. 表示层 G应用层 3在主机在正确地配置了一个静态的IP地址,但是默认网关没有被正确设置的情况下。这个配置错误最先会发生在OSI参考模型的哪一层? (C) A.物理层 B. 数据链路层 C. 网络层 D. 传输层 E. 会话层 F. 表示层 G应用层 4. OSI参考模型的哪一层涉及保证端到端的可靠传输?(D) A.物理层 B. 数据链路层 C. 网络层 D. 传输层 E. 会话层 F. 表示层 G应用层 5. OSI参考模型的哪一层完成差错报告,网络拓扑结构和流量控制的功能?(B) A.物理层 B. 数据链路层 C. 网络层 D. 传输层 E. 会话层 F. 表示层 G应用层 7. 10Base-T使用哪种类型的电缆介质?(D) A. 以太网粗缆 B. 以太网细缆 C. 同轴电缆 D.双绞线 8. 下面关于CSMA/CD 网络的描述,哪一个是正确的?(A) A. 任何一个节点的通信数据都要通过整个网络,并且每一个节点都要接收并检验该数据 B. 如果源节点知道目的地的IP地址和MAC地址,它所发送的信号是直接送往目的地的。 C.一个节点的数据发往最近的路由器,路由器将数据直接发送到目的地 D. 信号都是以广播的方式发送的 9. 网络中使用光缆的有点是什么?(D) A 便宜 B. 容易安装 C.是一个工业标准,很方便购买 D. 传输速率比同轴电缆或者双绞线都高10.当一台计算机发送一封E-mail给另一台计算机的,数据打包所经历的5个步骤是;(A) A. 数据,数据段,数据包,数据帧,比特 B.比特,数据段,数据包,数据帧,数据 C. 数据包,数据段,数据,比特,数据帧 D. 比特,数据帧,数据包,数据段,数据 第二章 1. 下面哪种网络协议在传输过程中既应用了UDP的端口,有应用了TCP端口?(E) A. FTP B. TFTP C. SMTP D.Telnet E. DNS 2. 下面哪些应用服务使用了TCP传输协议?(BDE) A. DHCP B. SMTP C. SNMP D.FTP E. HTTP F.TFTP 3.下面哪些IP地址是在子网192.168.15.19/28中有效的主机地址?(AC) A. 192.168.15.17 B. 192.168.15.14 C. 192.168.15.29 D. 192.168.15.16 E.192.1 68.15.31 4. 如果被分配了一个C类网络地址,但是需要划分10个子网。同时要求每一个子网内主机数量尽可能多。应该选择下面那一项子网掩码来划分这个C类网络? (C) A. 255.255.255.192 B. 255.255.255.224 C. 255.255.255.240 D. 255.255.255.248 5.当使用子网掩码/28来划分一个C类地址,E (AD) A.30个子网,6台主机 B.6个子网,30太主机 C. 8个子网,32台主机 D. 32个子网,18太主机 E. 16个子网,14台主机 6. 一个B类网络地址,它的掩码是255.255.255.0。下面那些选项是对这个网络地址的正确的描述?(D)

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